Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-03-04 · 12:10

KC SMART MOBILITY HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 11 runners

Race 4 ("KC SMART MOBILITY HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GAMEPLAYER ELITE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D J Whyte, won, with GENIUS BABY second and SKY CAP third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Penetrometer 2.73 #5 GRAND MASTERMIND — Code 92 #9 ETERNAL RICHNESS — Code 96 #9 ETERNAL RICHNESS — Jockey Change #9 ETERNAL RICHNESS — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:10.28
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR/TT 1:10.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D J Whyte 5 3.4
2 2 GENIUS BABY XB/CP2/TT L Hewitson · B Crawford 10 6.5 1/2
3 4 SKY CAP B-/TT D B McMonagle · C Fownes 9 3.9 1
4 3 HOLMES A COURT B-/V1/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz 1 5.4 2-1/4
5 7 FLASH STAR H/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum 11 16.0 2-1/2
6 6 VIVA BOSS K C Leung · K L Man 2 30.0 3-1/4
7 11 GIDDY UP P-/B2/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 4 17.0 3-1/4
8 10 HAPPY ALLIANCE XB1/TT- A Atzeni · K W Lui 8 66.0 4-1/2
9 8 STAR PERFORMER B A Badel · M Newnham 6 7.8 5-1/4
10 9 ETERNAL RICHNESS C L Chau · P C Ng 12 72.0 10
11 1 TACTICAL VICTORY B/TT J Orman · W Y So 7 52.0 14
0 LO PAN SPIRIT B/TT · K H Ting
5 GRAND MASTERMIND CP-/B1/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes
9 FALCON HUNTER TT C L Chau · C H Yip 12

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GAMEPLAYER ELITE2. GENIUS BABY+0.5L3. SKY CAP+1L4. HOLMES A COURT+2.25L5. FLASH STAR+2.5L6. VIVA BOSS+3.25L7. GIDDY UP+3.25L8. HAPPY ALLIANCE+4.5L9. STAR PERFORMER+5.25L10. ETERNAL RICHNESS+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick HOLMES A COURT (23.3%) finished 4th — the winner GAMEPLAYER ELITE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 HOLMES A COURT 23.3% 4.29 4
2 12 GAMEPLAYER ELITE 21.5% 4.66 1
3 2 GENIUS BABY 14.3% 7.01 2
4 8 STAR PERFORMER 12.4% 8.04 9
5 4 SKY CAP 11.5% 8.73 3
6 7 FLASH STAR 7.3% 13.76 5
7 10 HAPPY ALLIANCE 2.4% 42.29 8
8 9 ETERNAL RICHNESS 2.3% 43.49 10
9 11 GIDDY UP 2.2% 44.65 7
10 6 VIVA BOSS 1.6% 62.65 6
11 1 TACTICAL VICTORY 1.3% 76.73 11
HOLMES A COURTGAMEPLAYER ELITE — wonGENIUS BABYSTAR PERFORMERSKY CAPFLASH STARHAPPY ALLIANCEETERNAL RICHNESSGIDDY UPVIVA BOSSTACTICAL VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 34.5

PLACE

2 19.5

4 18

12 13.5

QUINELLA

2,12 105

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 53

2,12 38

4,12 27

FORECAST

12,2 187

TIERCE

12,2,4 708

TRIO

2,4,12 133

FIRST 4

2,3,4,12 118

QUARTET

12,2,4,3 2,596

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

6/2 40

6/5,12 134.5