Happy Valley · 2026-03-04 · 14:15
NEW LANTAO BUS HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("NEW LANTAO BUS HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-04 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. AMAZING KID, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by J Size, won, with METRO POWER second and STORMING DRAGON third. The 2.9 favourite STORMING DRAGON finished 3rd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | AMAZING KID 1:09.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 8.8 | — |
| 2 | 6 | METRO POWER J Orman · D A Hayes | J Orman | D A Hayes | 6 | 8.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 8 | STORMING DRAGON TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 2.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | PEGAS TT H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 4.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | WINGS OF WAR XB-/B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 9.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LUCKY PLANET B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 9.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | MATTERS MOST B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY GLORY TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | INVINCIBLE STARR TT R Kingscote · D J Hall | R Kingscote | D J Hall | 3 | 79.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | SPICY GOLD B1/XB1/TT- D B McMonagle · M Newnham | D B McMonagle | M Newnham | 1 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | STORMING DRAGON | 21.8% | 4.59 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY PLANET | 16.9% | 5.92 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | PEGAS | 16.6% | 6.03 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | AMAZING KID | 11.8% | 8.50 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | BEAUTY GLORY | 11.3% | 8.88 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | METRO POWER | 6.3% | 15.80 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | WINGS OF WAR | 5.3% | 18.91 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SPICY GOLD | 5.0% | 19.92 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | MATTERS MOST | 3.7% | 26.84 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | INVINCIBLE STARR | 1.3% | 75.87 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 88.5
PLACE
6 29.5
8 12.5
9 25.5
QUINELLA
6,9 535
QUINELLA PLACE
6,8 51.5
6,9 155.5
8,9 45.5
FORECAST
9,6 980
TIERCE
9,6,8 3,457
TRIO
6,8,9 404
FIRST 4
3,6,8,9 387
QUARTET
9,6,8,3 13,886
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/6 141.5
3/9 531.5