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Happy Valley · 2026-03-04 · 21:45

KWOON CHUNG INCLUSIVE & ACCESSIBLE SERVICE HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:40.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT 1:40.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 9 6.0 —
2 5 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 3 5.5 HD
3 1 RAGGA BOMB Led early XB H Bowman · D Eustace 5 3.2 1-1/4
4 7 TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB M F Poon · K L Man 1 24.0 2-3/4
5 6 SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum 6 13.0 3-1/4
6 2 AESTHETICISM Closed strongly L Hewitson · P C Ng 7 21.0 3-1/4
7 12 LEGENDARY IMPACT B/TT A Badel · W K Mo 2 22.0 3-1/4
8 9 TAKE ACTION B A Atzeni · J Size 8 5.5 3-1/2
9 4 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 12 19.0 4-3/4
10 10 KOLACHI CP/E/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 4 17.0 6-1/2
11 8 NORTHERN BEAST B-/V2 J Orman · D J Hall 10 25.0 7-1/4
12 11 MASTER OF HUMOR CP M L Yeung · B Crawford 11 46.0 10
— 0 MIGHTY STEED CP · K W Lui — — —
— 0 FORTUNE STAR B/TT · M Newnham — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 ("KWOON CHUNG INCLUSIVE & ACCESSIBLE SERVICE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA MOXIE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won, with GLORIOUS JOURNEY second and RAGGA BOMB third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite RAGGA BOMB finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALIFORNIA MOXIE—2. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+0.2L3. RAGGA BOMB+1.25L4. TURIN WARRIOR+2.75L5. SHANGHAI STYLE+3.25L6. AESTHETICISM+3.25L7. LEGENDARY IMPACT+3.25L8. TAKE ACTION+3.5L9. NOBLE PURSUIT+4.75L10. KOLACHI+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RAGGA BOMB (30.9%) finished 3rd — the winner CALIFORNIA MOXIE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 RAGGA BOMB 30.9% 3.24 3
2 9 TAKE ACTION 21.5% 4.65 8
3 5 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 9.0% 11.07 2
4 3 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 8.9% 11.26 1
5 4 NOBLE PURSUIT 8.0% 12.47 9
6 7 TURIN WARRIOR 4.0% 24.99 4
7 6 SHANGHAI STYLE 3.2% 31.35 5
8 8 NORTHERN BEAST 3.1% 31.92 11
9 12 LEGENDARY IMPACT 3.1% 32.26 7
10 10 KOLACHI 3.1% 32.50 10
11 2 AESTHETICISM 2.8% 36.35 6
12 11 MASTER OF HUMOR 2.4% 40.84 12
RAGGA BOMBTAKE ACTIONGLORIOUS JOURNEYCALIFORNIA MOXIE — wonNOBLE PURSUITTURIN WARRIORSHANGHAI STYLENORTHERN BEASTLEGENDARY IMPACTKOLACHIAESTHETICISMMASTER OF HUMOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 60

PLACE

1 16.5

3 20

5 18

QUINELLA

3,5 161

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 43.5

1,5 42.5

3,5 59.5

FORECAST

3,5 308

TIERCE

3,5,1 1,048

TRIO

1,3,5 174

FIRST 4

1,3,5,7 539

QUARTET

3,5,1,7 12,779

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,7/1,3,5 13,226

6TH DOUBLE

3/3 464

3/5 66.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,5,12/3,4,7/1,3,5 489,748

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,5,12/3,4,7/Any Combination 3,351