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Happy Valley · 2026-03-04 · 13:45

KWOON CHUNG INCLUSIVE & ACCESSIBLE SERVICE HANDICAP

Race 7

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Race 7 ("KWOON CHUNG INCLUSIVE & ACCESSIBLE SERVICE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-04 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA MOXIE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won, with GLORIOUS JOURNEY second and RAGGA BOMB third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite RAGGA BOMB finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:40.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT 1:40.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 9 6.0
2 5 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 3 5.5 HD
3 1 RAGGA BOMB Led early XB H Bowman · D Eustace 5 3.2 1-1/4
4 7 TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB M F Poon · K L Man 1 24.0 2-3/4
5 6 SHANGHAI STYLE B/TT D B McMonagle · C S Shum 6 13.0 3-1/4
6 2 AESTHETICISM Closed strongly L Hewitson · P C Ng 7 21.0 3-1/4
7 12 LEGENDARY IMPACT B/TT A Badel · W K Mo 2 22.0 3-1/4
8 9 TAKE ACTION B A Atzeni · J Size 8 5.5 3-1/2
9 4 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 12 19.0 4-3/4
10 10 KOLACHI CP/E/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 4 17.0 6-1/2
11 8 NORTHERN BEAST B-/V2 J Orman · D J Hall 10 25.0 7-1/4
12 11 MASTER OF HUMOR CP M L Yeung · B Crawford 11 46.0 10
0 MIGHTY STEED CP · K W Lui
0 FORTUNE STAR B/TT · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALIFORNIA MOXIE2. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+0.2L3. RAGGA BOMB+1.25L4. TURIN WARRIOR+2.75L5. SHANGHAI STYLE+3.25L6. AESTHETICISM+3.25L7. LEGENDARY IMPACT+3.25L8. TAKE ACTION+3.5L9. NOBLE PURSUIT+4.75L10. KOLACHI+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick RAGGA BOMB (30.9%) finished 3rd — the winner CALIFORNIA MOXIE was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 RAGGA BOMB 30.9% 3.24 3
2 9 TAKE ACTION 21.5% 4.65 8
3 5 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 9.0% 11.07 2
4 3 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 8.9% 11.26 1
5 4 NOBLE PURSUIT 8.0% 12.47 9
6 7 TURIN WARRIOR 4.0% 24.99 4
7 6 SHANGHAI STYLE 3.2% 31.35 5
8 8 NORTHERN BEAST 3.1% 31.92 11
9 12 LEGENDARY IMPACT 3.1% 32.26 7
10 10 KOLACHI 3.1% 32.50 10
11 2 AESTHETICISM 2.8% 36.35 6
12 11 MASTER OF HUMOR 2.4% 40.84 12
RAGGA BOMBTAKE ACTIONGLORIOUS JOURNEYCALIFORNIA MOXIE — wonNOBLE PURSUITTURIN WARRIORSHANGHAI STYLENORTHERN BEASTLEGENDARY IMPACTKOLACHIAESTHETICISMMASTER OF HUMOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 60

PLACE

1 16.5

3 20

5 18

QUINELLA

3,5 161

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 43.5

1,5 42.5

3,5 59.5

FORECAST

3,5 308

TIERCE

3,5,1 1,048

TRIO

1,3,5 174

FIRST 4

1,3,5,7 539

QUARTET

3,5,1,7 12,779

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,7/1,3,5 13,226

6TH DOUBLE

3/3 464

3/5 66.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,5,12/3,4,7/1,3,5 489,748

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,5,12/3,4,7/Any Combination 3,351