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Happy Valley · 2026-03-04 · 12:40

KWOON CHUNG MACAU LIMOUSINE RENTAL SERVICES HANDICAP

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 5 ("KWOON CHUNG MACAU LIMOUSINE RENTAL SERVICES HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-04 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GIANT BALLON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won, with GIANT LEAP second and ENJOY GOLF third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.73

Result

Official · 1:09.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 GIANT BALLON CP-/B2/TT 1:09.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte 7 2.6
2 1 GIANT LEAP B M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 8.6 2-1/2
3 12 ENJOY GOLF CP H Bentley · F C Lor 1 9.7 4
4 6 DUKE OF ORANGE TT C L Chau · C H Yip 3 7.4 4-1/2
5 4 FORTUNE WHISKEY B/TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 2 4.8 4-1/2
6 8 HAPPY UNITED CP-/TT M Chadwick · J Richards 12 31.0 4-3/4
7 3 TOP THRONE CP/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 8 41.0 5-1/2
8 11 CIRRUS SPEED A Atzeni · D J Hall 5 21.0 5-3/4
9 2 TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham 10 13.0 6-1/4
10 7 RISING ELITE H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 4 137.0 6-3/4
11 9 BRAVE WIN CP-/B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 11 21.0 7-1/2
12 10 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT B/XB/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 9 24.0 8-1/4
0 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR H/B1/TT- · C W Chang
0 ALWAYS AHEAD H/TT · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GIANT BALLON2. GIANT LEAP+2.5L3. ENJOY GOLF+4L4. DUKE OF ORANGE+4.5L5. FORTUNE WHISKEY+4.5L6. HAPPY UNITED+4.75L7. TOP THRONE+5.5L8. CIRRUS SPEED+5.75L9. TACTICAL COMMAND+6.25L10. RISING ELITE+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GIANT BALLON (31.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 GIANT BALLON 31.0% 3.22 1
2 4 FORTUNE WHISKEY 14.5% 6.90 5
3 1 GIANT LEAP 10.7% 9.36 2
4 11 CIRRUS SPEED 9.1% 10.95 8
5 2 TACTICAL COMMAND 8.3% 11.99 9
6 12 ENJOY GOLF 7.2% 13.80 3
7 6 DUKE OF ORANGE 5.2% 19.12 4
8 10 YEE CHEONG SPIRIT 4.1% 24.53 12
9 8 HAPPY UNITED 3.4% 29.82 6
10 3 TOP THRONE 2.7% 37.21 7
11 9 BRAVE WIN 2.6% 38.86 11
12 7 RISING ELITE 1.2% 86.69 10
GIANT BALLON — wonFORTUNE WHISKEYGIANT LEAPCIRRUS SPEEDTACTICAL COMMANDENJOY GOLFDUKE OF ORANGEYEE CHEONG SPIRITHAPPY UNITEDTOP THRONEBRAVE WINRISING ELITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 26.5

PLACE

1 28.5

5 13.5

12 29

QUINELLA

1,5 107.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 45

1,12 129.5

5,12 53.5

FORECAST

5,1 188

TIERCE

5,1,12 1,369

TRIO

1,5,12 393

FIRST 4

1,5,6,12 720

QUARTET

5,1,12,6 9,174

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

6/5,12/1 231

6/5,12/5 358

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

2>4,5,12/1,5,12 5,083

4TH DOUBLE

5,12/1 54.5

5,12/5 83