Happy Valley · 2026-03-25 · 18:40
TUEN MUN HANDICAP
Race 1
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT 2:16.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 9.4 | — |
| 2 | 4 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 4 | 4.4 | NOSE |
| 3 | 2 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly CP2 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 1 | 8.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly CP2/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 2 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT V/TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 8 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 10 | 4.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 5.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H-/PC-/CP2/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 9 | 32.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS TT D B McMonagle · D A Hayes | D B McMonagle | D A Hayes | 11 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 7 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GOLDEN FAIRY Led early J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 6 | 30.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 12 | 18.0 | 11-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS B2/TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SMART TRIO B-/V2/XB2/TT- · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 ("TUEN MUN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-25 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. JOYFUL PROSPERITY, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with ROMANTIC FANTASY second and MANAGEMENT FOLKS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite ROMANTIC FANTASY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 23.3% | 4.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 15.9% | 6.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | PERFECT PAIRING | 12.1% | 8.26 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE | 10.7% | 9.37 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | SUPER HONG KONG | 8.2% | 12.24 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 7.7% | 12.97 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | KASA PAPA | 5.4% | 18.51 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 5.0% | 20.01 | 1 |
| 9 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 4.4% | 22.68 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 3.1% | 32.55 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 2.2% | 45.92 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | MR ALADDIN | 2.1% | 47.38 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 94.5
PLACE
1 31
2 22
4 18
QUINELLA
1,4 235
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 133.5
1,4 88.5
2,4 73.5
FORECAST
1,4 618
TIERCE
1,4,2 3,687
TRIO
1,2,4 572
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 1,645
QUARTET
1,4,2,3 37,603