Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-03-25 · 14:50

KWU TUNG HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 9 ("KWU TUNG HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-25 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MY DAY MY WAY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won, with GREATER BAE second and AMAZING KID third. The 2.7 favourite GREATER BAE finished 2nd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #11 IRON SECURITY — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.66
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 MY DAY MY WAY CP/TT 1:09.66 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum 10 12.0
2 2 GREATER BAE TT Z Purton · D Eustace 5 2.7 N
3 5 AMAZING KID A Atzeni · J Size 7 7.0 1
4 9 YEE CHEONG GLORY CP/TT A Badel · J Richards 6 6.4 1-3/4
5 1 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH L Ferraris · F C Lor 4 10.0 2
6 4 PEGAS TT H Bowman · Y S Tsui 3 8.7 2-1/4
7 10 CHARMING BABE B R Kingscote · P F Yiu 8 47.0 3
8 8 CALIFORNIA BLITZ B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 12 23.0 3
9 7 SUGAR SUGAR V-/B2/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 2 13.0 6
10 11 IRON SECURITY CP/TT K C Leung · C W Chang 1 113.0 6-3/4
11 3 METRO POWER J Orman · D A Hayes 11 12.0 8
12 12 COPARTNER FLEET XB M L Yeung · K W Lui 9 58.0 10
0 BEAUTY GLORY TT · A S Cruz
0 CELESTIAL HERO CP-/B1 D B McMonagle · D J Whyte

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MY DAY MY WAY2. GREATER BAE+0.05L3. AMAZING KID+1L4. YEE CHEONG GLORY+1.75L5. SYMBOL OF STRENGTH+2L6. PEGAS+2.25L7. CHARMING BABE+3L8. CALIFORNIA BLITZ+3L9. SUGAR SUGAR+6L10. IRON SECURITY+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AMAZING KID (26.5%) finished 3rd — the winner MY DAY MY WAY was rated #9. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 AMAZING KID 26.5% 3.77 3
2 2 GREATER BAE 23.7% 4.22 2
3 7 SUGAR SUGAR 9.1% 11.05 9
4 4 PEGAS 7.7% 12.97 6
5 1 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH 7.2% 13.89 5
6 9 YEE CHEONG GLORY 6.6% 15.10 4
7 3 METRO POWER 5.4% 18.41 11
8 8 CALIFORNIA BLITZ 4.6% 21.83 8
9 6 MY DAY MY WAY 3.4% 28.99 1
10 12 COPARTNER FLEET 2.8% 35.43 12
11 10 CHARMING BABE 1.9% 53.29 7
12 11 IRON SECURITY 1.0% 99.01 10
AMAZING KIDGREATER BAESUGAR SUGARPEGASSYMBOL OF STRENGTHYEE CHEONG GLORYMETRO POWERCALIFORNIA BLITZMY DAY MY WAY — wonCOPARTNER FLEETCHARMING BABEIRON SECURITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 120

PLACE

2 13.5

5 24

6 35.5

QUINELLA

2,6 148

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 49

2,6 60.5

5,6 135.5

FORECAST

6,2 478

TIERCE

6,2,5 3,659

TRIO

2,5,6 356

FIRST 4

2,5,6,9 603

QUARTET

6,2,5,9 23,052

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

2/7/2 146

2/7/6 3,179

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,7/2,5,6 30,558

8TH DOUBLE

7/2 32.5

7/6 747.5

SIX UP

6,10/1,10,12/3,5,9/2,8/5,7/2,6 1,784

6/10,12/5/2/7/6 1,068,387

1 [Z Purton]

1 [C S Shum]