Happy Valley · 2026-03-25 · 11:40
KWAI CHUNG HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("KWAI CHUNG HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HONEST WITNESS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won, with THE HEIR second and A TIME FOR US third. The 3.5 favourite THE HEIR finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS B/TT 1:09.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 8 | 5.8 | — |
| 2 | 5 | THE HEIR J Orman · C Fownes | J Orman | C Fownes | 4 | 3.5 | HD |
| 3 | 1 | A TIME FOR US B/TT B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 2 | 31.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | LEADING AGILITY H/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 3 | 6.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE B L Ferraris · B Crawford | L Ferraris | B Crawford | 1 | 3.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | ORIGIN OF FORM CP/H M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 11 | 153.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SUNNY Q TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 5 | 8.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | GIDDY UP B-/PC2/TT K Teetan · J Richards | K Teetan | J Richards | 10 | 59.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | WATCH THIS ONE V/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 12 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY CP/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 9 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 9 | VIVA BOSS K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 60.0 | 8-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR/TT · D J Whyte | — | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BITS SUPERSTAR | 29.9% | 3.34 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 21.9% | 4.58 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | THE HEIR | 15.8% | 6.35 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | HONEST WITNESS | 7.2% | 13.90 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | WATCH THIS ONE | 5.6% | 17.93 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | LEADING AGILITY | 5.5% | 18.17 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | SUNNY Q | 4.9% | 20.23 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | GIDDY UP | 2.7% | 36.67 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | AMAZING VICTORY | 2.7% | 37.46 | 11 |
| 10 | 9 | VIVA BOSS | 1.6% | 64.47 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | A TIME FOR US | 1.4% | 72.65 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | ORIGIN OF FORM | 0.9% | 111.05 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 58
PLACE
1 67
5 15
7 22.5
QUINELLA
5,7 98.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 136
1,7 254.5
5,7 39.5
FORECAST
7,5 212
TIERCE
7,5,1 3,045
TRIO
1,5,7 663
FIRST 4
1,5,7,8 1,286
QUARTET
7,5,1,8 20,195
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,9,12/1,5,7 17,694
2ND DOUBLE
3/5 24
3/7 197