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Happy Valley · 2026-03-25 · 12:40

THE ROTARY CENTENARY CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 5

Class 3 GOOD 1000m Course B 11 runners

Race 5 ("THE ROTARY CENTENARY CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-25 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. BUNTA BABY, ridden by A Badel and trained by K L Man, won, with HORSEPOWER second and CANDLELIGHT DINNER third. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #10 COPPER CORE — Code 92

Result

Official · 0:56.53
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 12 BUNTA BABY V/TT 0:56.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · K L Man 5 4.2
2 1 HORSEPOWER XB/TT Z Purton · F C Lor 10 7.2 3/4
3 3 CANDLELIGHT DINNER H J Orman · Y S Tsui 1 4.6 3/4
4 6 TOGETHER WE VALUE B H Bowman · C H Yip 12 17.0 3/4
5 2 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS SR/V2/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham 3 5.5 3/4
6 5 HARMONY N BLESSED B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 6 18.0 2-1/4
7 4 RED ELEGANCE B R Kingscote · D J Whyte 2 25.0 3-3/4
8 11 HEY BROS XB K Teetan · B Crawford 4 13.0 4
9 7 CAUSEWAY KING CP- M F Poon · P F Yiu 11 29.0 4-1/4
10 8 MR DESIRA TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 6.9 4-1/2
11 9 DASHING BASICS XB-/PC1/TT- A Atzeni · P C Ng 7 28.0 12
0 CENTRAL BANK H- · D Eustace
0 WHIZZ KID V/TT · A S Cruz
10 COPPER CORE SR-/TT1 M L Yeung · W Y So

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BUNTA BABY2. HORSEPOWER+0.75L3. CANDLELIGHT DINNER+0.75L4. TOGETHER WE VALUE+0.75L5. YOUTHFUL SPIRITS+0.75L6. HARMONY N BLESSED+2.25L7. RED ELEGANCE+3.75L8. HEY BROS+4L9. CAUSEWAY KING+4.25L10. MR DESIRA+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BUNTA BABY (23.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 BUNTA BABY 23.0% 4.35 1
2 1 HORSEPOWER 14.7% 6.80 2
3 3 CANDLELIGHT DINNER 13.9% 7.18 3
4 5 HARMONY N BLESSED 8.6% 11.67 6
5 6 TOGETHER WE VALUE 8.4% 11.93 4
6 8 MR DESIRA 7.0% 14.36 10
7 2 YOUTHFUL SPIRITS 6.3% 15.81 5
8 11 HEY BROS 6.3% 15.88 8
9 9 DASHING BASICS 5.9% 17.06 11
10 7 CAUSEWAY KING 3.6% 27.40 9
11 4 RED ELEGANCE 2.3% 42.84 7
BUNTA BABY — wonHORSEPOWERCANDLELIGHT DINNERHARMONY N BLESSEDTOGETHER WE VALUEMR DESIRAYOUTHFUL SPIRITSHEY BROSDASHING BASICSCAUSEWAY KINGRED ELEGANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 42

PLACE

1 26

3 17.5

12 15.5

QUINELLA

1,12 137.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 66

1,12 53.5

3,12 37

FORECAST

12,1 275

TIERCE

12,1,3 904

TRIO

1,3,12 187

FIRST 4

1,3,6,12 664

QUARTET

12,1,3,6 12,536

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

7/6/1 303

7/6/10,12 985

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

5,6,10/1>3,10,12 59,514

4TH DOUBLE

6/1 64.5

6/10,12 184.5