Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2026-03-25 · 11:10

TSUEN WAN HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course B 12 runners

Race 2 ("TSUEN WAN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-25 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WIN METHOD, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C S Shum, won, with TAKE ACTION second and OUR LUCKY GLORY third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 WIN METHOD Wire to wire TT 1:39.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C S Shum 2 2.8
2 9 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size 5 7.8 1/2
3 12 OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly TT K Teetan · W Y So 3 4.7 3/4
4 11 KOLACHI Closed strongly CP-/E/XB/SR2/TT- H Bentley · D J Whyte 1 15.0 1-1/4
5 10 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY C L Chau · C H Yip 6 23.0 1-3/4
6 4 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 12 30.0 2-1/2
7 1 RAGGA BOMB XB H Bowman · D Eustace 7 4.4 2-3/4
8 8 PRECISION HOPE Closed strongly A Badel · D A Hayes 8 13.0 2-3/4
9 5 TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB M F Poon · K L Man 10 37.0 3-1/4
10 7 NORTHERN BEAST V- J Orman · D J Hall 9 39.0 5-1/2
11 6 TO INFINITY P N Wong · J Richards 11 43.0 6-3/4
12 2 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR B-/H H T Mo · C W Chang 4 102.0 8-3/4
0 VERMILION TEMPEST TT · C Fownes
0 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON CP-/BO1/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WIN METHOD2. TAKE ACTION+0.5L3. OUR LUCKY GLORY+0.75L4. KOLACHI+1.25L5. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY+1.75L6. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED+2.5L7. RAGGA BOMB+2.75L8. PRECISION HOPE+2.75L9. TURIN WARRIOR+3.25L10. NORTHERN BEAST+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WIN METHOD (28.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 WIN METHOD 28.0% 3.57 1
2 9 TAKE ACTION 20.5% 4.88 2
3 1 RAGGA BOMB 11.8% 8.48 7
4 11 KOLACHI 8.1% 12.37 4
5 12 OUR LUCKY GLORY 7.2% 13.88 3
6 4 ABSOLUTE AWAKENED 4.3% 22.99 6
7 8 PRECISION HOPE 4.2% 23.84 8
8 10 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 3.7% 26.90 5
9 7 NORTHERN BEAST 3.7% 26.92 10
10 6 TO INFINITY 3.6% 27.84 11
11 5 TURIN WARRIOR 3.5% 28.47 9
12 2 PRESTIGE SUPERIOR 1.3% 74.66 12
WIN METHOD — wonTAKE ACTIONRAGGA BOMBKOLACHIOUR LUCKY GLORYABSOLUTE AWAKENEDPRECISION HOPEYIU CHEUNG VICTORYNORTHERN BEASTTO INFINITYTURIN WARRIORPRESTIGE SUPERIOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 28.5

PLACE

3 14

9 21.5

12 16.5

QUINELLA

3,9 107

QUINELLA PLACE

3,9 41

3,12 37

9,12 75.5

FORECAST

3,9 171

TIERCE

3,9,12 818

TRIO

3,9,12 205

FIRST 4

3,9,11,12 442

QUARTET

3,9,12,11 6,933

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

1/3 401.5

1/9 91.5