Happy Valley · 2026-03-25 · 13:45
KWAI CHUNG HANDICAP
Race 7
Race 7 ("KWAI CHUNG HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-25 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GIANT BALLON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won, with BROWNNEEDSFURTHER second and LOVING VIBES third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GIANT BALLON B/TT 1:09.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 2.6 | — |
| 2 | 8 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER B1/TT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 7 | 3.7 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | LOVING VIBES TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 12 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 3 | 11.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL B/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 4 | 85.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 80.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | PHOENIX LIGHT D B McMonagle · C H Yip | D B McMonagle | C H Yip | 10 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | STARRY SHOW CP L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 2 | 126.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 9 | 14.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | MASTER OF HUMOR CP Y L Chung · B Crawford | Y L Chung | B Crawford | 1 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 5 | 18.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | GIANT LEAP B A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 8 | 8.3 | 10-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY TOGETHER TT · F C Lor | — | F C Lor | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | SKY CAP TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GIANT BALLON | 26.5% | 3.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | GIANT LEAP | 16.3% | 6.14 | 12 |
| 3 | 1 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 9.5% | 10.51 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 9.2% | 10.90 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | LOVING VIBES | 8.4% | 11.91 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 8.0% | 12.42 | 11 |
| 7 | 5 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 7.3% | 13.72 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | MASTER OF HUMOR | 4.0% | 25.14 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 3.7% | 27.11 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 3.5% | 28.62 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | STARRY SHOW | 2.0% | 49.98 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | KWAI CHUNG TALENTS | 1.7% | 60.16 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
2 13.5
8 14.5
9 38.5
QUINELLA
2,8 56
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 26
2,9 64
8,9 76.5
FORECAST
2,8 106
TIERCE
2,8,9 991
TRIO
2,8,9 261
FIRST 4
1,2,8,9 377
QUARTET
2,8,9,1 6,412
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5>3,4,9/2,8,9 6,803
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 703.5
5/8 144
TRIPLE TRIO
1>3,10,12/5>3,4,9/2,8,9 81,633
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1>3,10,12/5>3,4,9/Any Combination 577