Happy Valley · 2026-03-25 · 14:15
FANLING HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("FANLING HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-25 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WITHOUT COMPARE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C S Shum, won, with KEEFY second and BEAUTY ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite CALIFORNIA MOXIE finished 6th.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WITHOUT COMPARE Closed strongly TT 1:40.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 12 | 5.9 | — |
| 2 | 5 | KEEFY Led early CP-/V1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 7.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | SOLID WIN Closed strongly D B McMonagle · P F Yiu | D B McMonagle | P F Yiu | 6 | 7.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | THRIVING BROTHERS P-/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | KING LOTUS CP L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 1 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | DARYL FLASH B J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 84.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | POSITIVE SMILE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 11.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING FORTRESS XB/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 5 | 8.3 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | TRINITY TREASURE Closed strongly B- R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 9 | 73.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | FLUORESCENCE B-/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 158.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 0 | FORTUNATE SON TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 4 | FIVEFORTWO TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 11 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SOLID WIN | 17.0% | 5.90 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 15.8% | 6.32 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 15.2% | 6.60 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | FLYING FORTRESS | 13.6% | 7.36 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | WITHOUT COMPARE | 12.8% | 7.83 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | POSITIVE SMILE | 6.5% | 15.33 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | KEEFY | 5.9% | 16.89 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 5.2% | 19.37 | 5 |
| 9 | 6 | KING LOTUS | 3.4% | 29.21 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | TRINITY TREASURE | 2.0% | 50.13 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | DARYL FLASH | 1.4% | 70.87 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | FLUORESCENCE | 1.3% | 79.63 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 59
PLACE
1 27
5 32
7 22
QUINELLA
5,7 318.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 110.5
1,7 83
5,7 112
FORECAST
7,5 623
TIERCE
7,5,1 4,346
TRIO
1,5,7 798
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 768
QUARTET
7,5,1,2 23,598
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/5 75.5
2/7 243.5