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Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 11:05

CELEBRATING 40 YEARS OF THE HKFC10s 1650M HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 2 ("CELEBRATING 40 YEARS OF THE HKFC10s 1650M HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FAMILY FORTUNE, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with DOUBLE BINGO second and ZETTA FORCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite DRAGON SUNRISE finished 6th.

Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 #8 COURIER MAGIC — Code 96 #8 COURIER MAGIC — Jockey Change #8 COURIER MAGIC — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:40.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT 1:40.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 8 4.3
2 7 DOUBLE BINGO M F Poon · P F Yiu 6 11.0 SH
3 3 ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly B-/TT1 C L Chau · C H Yip 3 39.0 1-3/4
4 11 PERFECTO MOMENTS CP M L Yeung · K H Ting 11 7.4 2
5 10 WAH MAY WAI WAI Closed strongly A Atzeni · A S Cruz 9 11.0 3
6 9 DRAGON SUNRISE Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · K W Lui 7 3.3 4
7 1 FLOOF TT2 K Teetan · B Crawford 1 11.0 4
8 12 SMART TRIO B-/V2/XB2/TT- P N Wong · C W Chang 2 55.0 4-1/4
9 8 COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly XB H Bowman · K L Man 12 6.6 4-1/4
10 2 POWER SUMMIT Led early B-/CP2 J Orman · D Eustace 10 93.0 5-1/2
11 4 EXCEED THE WISH H L Hewitson · M Newnham 4 19.0 6
12 5 INNO CENTURY CP/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 5 37.0 6-1/4
0 LUCKY BLESSING CP/TT · W K Mo
WV 8 MY FLYING ANGEL B C Y Ho · F C Lor 12

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAMILY FORTUNE2. DOUBLE BINGO+0.1L3. ZETTA FORCE+1.75L4. PERFECTO MOMENTS+2L5. WAH MAY WAI WAI+3L6. DRAGON SUNRISE+4L7. FLOOF+4L8. SMART TRIO+4.25L9. COURIER MAGIC+4.25L10. POWER SUMMIT+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick DRAGON SUNRISE (31.2%) finished 6th — the winner FAMILY FORTUNE was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 DRAGON SUNRISE 31.2% 3.20 6
2 10 WAH MAY WAI WAI 18.0% 5.55 5
3 6 FAMILY FORTUNE 14.8% 6.74 1
4 11 PERFECTO MOMENTS 5.3% 18.74 4
5 1 FLOOF 5.2% 19.12 7
6 7 DOUBLE BINGO 5.0% 19.89 2
7 8 COURIER MAGIC 4.3% 23.39 9
8 3 ZETTA FORCE 4.3% 23.50 3
9 4 EXCEED THE WISH 3.3% 30.15 11
10 5 INNO CENTURY 3.3% 30.19 12
11 12 SMART TRIO 3.1% 32.26 8
12 2 POWER SUMMIT 2.1% 48.46 10
DRAGON SUNRISEWAH MAY WAI WAIFAMILY FORTUNE — wonPERFECTO MOMENTSFLOOFDOUBLE BINGOCOURIER MAGICZETTA FORCEEXCEED THE WISHINNO CENTURYSMART TRIOPOWER SUMMIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 43.5

PLACE

3 104

6 17.5

7 35

QUINELLA

6,7 296

QUINELLA PLACE

3,6 356.5

3,7 665

6,7 78.5

FORECAST

6,7 499

TIERCE

6,7,3 10,625

TRIO

3,6,7 2,783

FIRST 4

3,6,7,11 4,230

QUARTET

6,7,3,11 83,296

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

6/6 237.5

6/7 97.5