Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 20:40
THE HONG KONG CHINA RUGBY CUP (HANDICAP)
Race 5
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE Closed strongly 1:39.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 5.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | DO YOUR PART Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 5 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 10 | WIN METHOD Led early TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 6 | 5.5 | N |
| 4 | 6 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 11 | 52.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | LE ZONDA Closed strongly TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 10 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | WROTE A NEW PAGE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 4.9 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | SUPERB KID Closed strongly M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 95.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPREME MASTERMIND H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 9.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | KING LOTUS CP J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 4 | 24.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE B/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 8 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | GRATIFIDE XB M Chadwick · D Eustace | M Chadwick | D Eustace | 3 | 31.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 ("THE HONG KONG CHINA RUGBY CUP (HANDICAP)") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY ALLIANCE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won, with DO YOUR PART second and WIN METHOD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite DO YOUR PART finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DO YOUR PART | 23.2% | 4.30 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 21.2% | 4.72 | 6 |
| 3 | 10 | WIN METHOD | 16.3% | 6.14 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | BEAUTY ALLIANCE | 12.2% | 8.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 7.0% | 14.26 | 10 |
| 6 | 5 | KING LOTUS | 6.2% | 16.10 | 9 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 3.7% | 27.27 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | LE ZONDA | 3.4% | 29.05 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | GRATIFIDE | 2.4% | 41.66 | 11 |
| 10 | 6 | FORTUNATE SON | 2.3% | 43.53 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPERB KID | 2.1% | 48.06 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 50.5
PLACE
1 19
4 14.5
10 20.5
QUINELLA
1,4 100
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 41
1,10 75.5
4,10 39
FORECAST
1,4 238
TIERCE
1,4,10 924
TRIO
1,4,10 117
FIRST 4
1,4,6,10 1,091
QUARTET
1,4,10,6 19,936
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
1/4/1 1,389
1/4/4 163
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,10,11/1,4,10 5,098
4TH DOUBLE
4/1 538
4/4 45.5