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Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 13:10

RACING WITH RUGBY 1200M HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 10 runners

Race 6 ("RACING WITH RUGBY 1200M HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. STORMING DRAGON, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Richards, won, with CLOUD NINE second and MOTOR third. The 3.1 favourite QUARTZ LEGEND finished 5th.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.71 #2 NORTHERN FIRE BALL — Code 92 #4 TEAM TEAM FOLKS — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:09.76
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 STORMING DRAGON B2/TT 1:09.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Richards 11 7.5
2 9 CLOUD NINE XB L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 4.3 1
3 1 MOTOR B/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo 6 8.3 1-1/2
4 6 RYUI KOKOROE BO H Bentley · D A Hayes 12 23.0 1-3/4
5 8 QUARTZ LEGEND TT J Moreira · C Fownes 2 3.1 2
6 11 PRESTIGE HALL Z Purton · D J Hall 10 4.7 2-1/2
7 5 GOLDEN EMPIRE B J Orman · B Crawford 1 9.9 4-1/2
8 7 ORIGIN OF FORM CP/H M F Poon · F C Lor 3 46.0 5-1/2
9 10 NEXT FORTUNE H1/TT1 M L Yeung · K W Lui 8 40.0 7-1/2
10 12 FLYING CHRISTIE H-/V/XB/TT P N Wong · P C Ng 4 127.0 8-3/4
0 HEROIC MASTER B/TT · Y S Tsui
0 HAYDAY · P F Yiu
2 NORTHERN FIRE BALL CP-/TT C L Chau · C H Yip
4 TEAM TEAM FOLKS TT C Y Ho · K H Ting

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. STORMING DRAGON2. CLOUD NINE+1L3. MOTOR+1.5L4. RYUI KOKOROE+1.75L5. QUARTZ LEGEND+2L6. PRESTIGE HALL+2.5L7. GOLDEN EMPIRE+4.5L8. ORIGIN OF FORM+5.5L9. NEXT FORTUNE+7.5L10. FLYING CHRISTIE+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PRESTIGE HALL (25.2%) finished 6th — the winner STORMING DRAGON was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 PRESTIGE HALL 25.2% 3.96 6
2 8 QUARTZ LEGEND 21.0% 4.76 5
3 9 CLOUD NINE 16.3% 6.14 2
4 3 STORMING DRAGON 13.5% 7.39 1
5 5 GOLDEN EMPIRE 9.4% 10.68 7
6 1 MOTOR 6.9% 14.55 3
7 6 RYUI KOKOROE 3.0% 32.83 4
8 10 NEXT FORTUNE 2.2% 45.37 9
9 7 ORIGIN OF FORM 1.2% 80.95 8
10 12 FLYING CHRISTIE 1.2% 81.14 10
PRESTIGE HALLQUARTZ LEGENDCLOUD NINESTORMING DRAGON — wonGOLDEN EMPIREMOTORRYUI KOKOROENEXT FORTUNEORIGIN OF FORMFLYING CHRISTIE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 75

PLACE

1 22

3 22

9 16.5

QUINELLA

3,9 158.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,3 90.5

1,9 51

3,9 58.5

FORECAST

3,9 412

TIERCE

3,9,1 2,419

TRIO

1,3,9 450

FIRST 4

1,3,6,9 1,754

QUARTET

3,9,1,6 38,213

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/3 423.5

1/9 47.5