Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 11:35
WINNING TRY 1650M HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("WINNING TRY 1650M HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC FUN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with RUN RUN TIMING second and VIVA FIRECRACKER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly XB/TT 1:39.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 3.8 | — |
| 2 | 10 | RUN RUN TIMING Led early V R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 6 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | VIVA FIRECRACKER Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 9 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FRANTANCK TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 5 | 5.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | LAKESHORE HERO M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 43.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | RED BRICK WARRIOR Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | THE AZURE Closed strongly C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 11 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | TO INFINITY J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 4 | 28.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | KOLACHI E/SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 33.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | STATE SECURITY Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 112.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 2 | WIN EASE TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 8 | 73.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SHOOTING TO TOP B/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | TAKE ACTION | 23.9% | 4.19 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | RUN RUN TIMING | 18.7% | 5.34 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | FANTASTIC FUN | 14.1% | 7.11 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | RED BRICK WARRIOR | 10.3% | 9.71 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | VIVA FIRECRACKER | 9.8% | 10.17 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | FRANTANCK | 5.6% | 17.95 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | KOLACHI | 4.6% | 21.97 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | THE AZURE | 3.9% | 25.44 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | LAKESHORE HERO | 3.0% | 33.53 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | TO INFINITY | 2.4% | 40.96 | 9 |
| 11 | 2 | WIN EASE | 1.9% | 53.32 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | STATE SECURITY | 1.8% | 54.62 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 38.5
PLACE
1 15.5
10 17
11 41.5
QUINELLA
1,10 114.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 45
1,11 101.5
10,11 100
FORECAST
1,10 172
TIERCE
1,10,11 2,169
TRIO
1,10,11 485
FIRST 4
1,10,11,12 533
QUARTET
1,10,11,12 9,158
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,7/1,10,11 173,358
2ND DOUBLE
6/1 157
6/10 41