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Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 19:35

WINNING TRY 1650M HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:39.26
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 FANTASTIC FUN Closed strongly XB/TT 1:39.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum 3 3.8 —
2 10 RUN RUN TIMING Led early V R Kingscote · P F Yiu 6 4.0 3/4
3 11 VIVA FIRECRACKER Closed strongly TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 9 15.0 1-3/4
4 12 FRANTANCK TT P N Wong · P C Ng 5 5.9 1-3/4
5 8 LAKESHORE HERO M F Poon · D J Hall 12 43.0 3-1/4
6 4 TAKE ACTION Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size 2 6.9 3-1/4
7 7 RED BRICK WARRIOR Closed strongly XB A Atzeni · D Eustace 1 6.2 3-3/4
8 5 THE AZURE Closed strongly C L Chau · F C Lor 11 20.0 4-1/2
9 6 TO INFINITY J Orman · J Richards 4 28.0 7
10 9 KOLACHI E/SR/XB H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 33.0 8
11 3 STATE SECURITY Closed strongly CP L Hewitson · D A Hayes 10 112.0 9
12 2 WIN EASE TT M L Yeung · K W Lui 8 73.0 12-3/4
— 0 SHOOTING TO TOP B/TT · W K Mo — — —
— 0 GOOD LUCK WIN B/TT · K H Ting — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("WINNING TRY 1650M HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FANTASTIC FUN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with RUN RUN TIMING second and VIVA FIRECRACKER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FANTASTIC FUN—2. RUN RUN TIMING+0.75L3. VIVA FIRECRACKER+1.75L4. FRANTANCK+1.75L5. LAKESHORE HERO+3.25L6. TAKE ACTION+3.25L7. RED BRICK WARRIOR+3.75L8. THE AZURE+4.5L9. TO INFINITY+7L10. KOLACHI+8L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick TAKE ACTION (23.9%) finished 6th — the winner FANTASTIC FUN was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 TAKE ACTION 23.9% 4.19 6
2 10 RUN RUN TIMING 18.7% 5.34 2
3 1 FANTASTIC FUN 14.1% 7.11 1
4 7 RED BRICK WARRIOR 10.3% 9.71 7
5 11 VIVA FIRECRACKER 9.8% 10.17 3
6 12 FRANTANCK 5.6% 17.95 4
7 9 KOLACHI 4.6% 21.97 10
8 5 THE AZURE 3.9% 25.44 8
9 8 LAKESHORE HERO 3.0% 33.53 5
10 6 TO INFINITY 2.4% 40.96 9
11 2 WIN EASE 1.9% 53.32 12
12 3 STATE SECURITY 1.8% 54.62 11
TAKE ACTIONRUN RUN TIMINGFANTASTIC FUN — wonRED BRICK WARRIORVIVA FIRECRACKERFRANTANCKKOLACHITHE AZURELAKESHORE HEROTO INFINITYWIN EASESTATE SECURITY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 38.5

PLACE

1 15.5

10 17

11 41.5

QUINELLA

1,10 114.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,10 45

1,11 101.5

10,11 100

FORECAST

1,10 172

TIERCE

1,10,11 2,169

TRIO

1,10,11 485

FIRST 4

1,10,11,12 533

QUARTET

1,10,11,12 9,158

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,6,7/1,10,11 173,358

2ND DOUBLE

6/1 157

6/10 41