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Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 14:55

GOLDEN POINT 1200M HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course A 12 runners

Race 9 ("GOLDEN POINT 1200M HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DO YOU JUST, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won, with MATTERS MOST second and SOMELOVEFROMABOVE third. The 4.1 favourite SOMELOVEFROMABOVE finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.71 #11 LUCKY DOCTOR — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:09.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 DO YOU JUST H-/CP2/TT 1:09.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz 5 12.0
2 6 MATTERS MOST B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 1 7.9 1-1/4
3 12 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE PC J Moreira · C Fownes 4 4.1 1-1/2
4 1 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH L Ferraris · F C Lor 3 7.4 2-1/2
5 3 SPORTS LEGEND B/TT H Bowman · D Eustace 8 6.3 2-3/4
6 5 BIENVENUE B Z Purton · D A Hayes 10 9.2 3-1/4
7 2 LUCKY PLANET B/TT M F Poon · W K Mo 2 36.0 3-1/4
8 4 AMAZING KID A Atzeni · J Size 12 7.9 3-1/4
9 9 STRAIGHT TO GLORY H/TT H Bentley · C W Chang 7 5.5 4-1/2
10 11 LUCKY DOCTOR XB/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng 11 210.0 7-3/4
11 10 PRESTIGE WIN L Hewitson · B Crawford 6 115.0 8-1/2
12 8 FIERY STEED CP2 R Kingscote · P F Yiu 9 78.0 10-1/4
0 DOUBLE MONEY TT · C S Shum
0 WONDERSTAR B- P N Wong · Y S Tsui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DO YOU JUST2. MATTERS MOST+1.25L3. SOMELOVEFROMABOVE+1.5L4. SYMBOL OF STRENGTH+2.5L5. SPORTS LEGEND+2.75L6. BIENVENUE+3.25L7. LUCKY PLANET+3.25L8. AMAZING KID+3.25L9. STRAIGHT TO GLORY+4.5L10. LUCKY DOCTOR+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SOMELOVEFROMABOVE (39.9%) finished 3rd — the winner DO YOU JUST was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 12 SOMELOVEFROMABOVE 39.9% 2.50 3
2 4 AMAZING KID 10.8% 9.25 8
3 9 STRAIGHT TO GLORY 10.5% 9.48 9
4 3 SPORTS LEGEND 8.4% 11.86 5
5 5 BIENVENUE 7.9% 12.61 6
6 1 SYMBOL OF STRENGTH 6.2% 16.17 4
7 7 DO YOU JUST 5.4% 18.46 1
8 2 LUCKY PLANET 4.3% 23.34 7
9 6 MATTERS MOST 3.3% 30.51 2
10 8 FIERY STEED 1.4% 72.96 12
11 10 PRESTIGE WIN 1.0% 97.16 11
12 11 LUCKY DOCTOR 0.8% 130.62 10
SOMELOVEFROMABOVEAMAZING KIDSTRAIGHT TO GLORYSPORTS LEGENDBIENVENUESYMBOL OF STRENGTHDO YOU JUST — wonLUCKY PLANETMATTERS MOSTFIERY STEEDPRESTIGE WINLUCKY DOCTOR

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 122

PLACE

6 26.5

7 31.5

12 17.5

QUINELLA

6,7 524.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 165

6,12 78.5

7,12 90

FORECAST

7,6 1,068

TIERCE

7,6,12 5,486

TRIO

6,7,12 720

FIRST 4

1,6,7,12 1,048

QUARTET

7,6,12,1 33,791

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

11/11/6 1,144

11/11/7 6,573

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

8,9,11/6,7,12 28,551

8TH DOUBLE

11/6 215

11/7 541

SIX UP

4/1/3/11/11/7 2,128,633

4,10/1,4/3,9/1,11/9,11/6,7 41,875

3 [C S Shum]

4 [H Bowman]