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Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 12:05

SUCCESSFUL CONVERSION 1800M HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners

Race 4 ("SUCCESSFUL CONVERSION 1800M HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. HARMONY GALAXY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C S Shum, won, with KINGLY DEMEANOR second and ROMANTIC FANTASY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite ENTHRALLED finished 8th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:49.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT 1:49.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C S Shum 3 8.9
2 10 KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz 4 6.0 SH
3 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Richards 6 7.7 SH
4 3 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 1 6.1 1/2
5 2 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 10 26.0 1/2
6 9 SMART CITY CP/XB K Teetan · P F Yiu 5 6.3 3/4
7 12 SPLENDID FORCE Closed strongly SR-/B2 M Chadwick · C H Yip 11 133.0 2-1/4
8 1 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 9 3.0 2-1/4
9 5 OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 7 26.0 2-1/2
10 7 CAN'T GO WONG B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 2 20.0 3
11 6 SHARPEN BRIGHT B P N Wong · Y S Tsui 8 83.0 5-3/4
12 8 FOREVER GLORIOUS V/XB Y L Chung · B Crawford 12 113.0 9-1/2
0 FIGHTING MACHINE B/SR · P C Ng
0 JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT · C S Shum

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HARMONY GALAXY2. KINGLY DEMEANOR+0.1L3. ROMANTIC FANTASY+0.1L4. NOBLE PURSUIT+0.5L5. ROMANTIC LAOS+0.5L6. SMART CITY+0.75L7. SPLENDID FORCE+2.25L8. ENTHRALLED+2.25L9. OCEAN IMPACT+2.5L10. CAN'T GO WONG+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROMANTIC FANTASY (25.2%) finished 3rd — the winner HARMONY GALAXY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY 25.2% 3.98 3
2 3 NOBLE PURSUIT 15.7% 6.38 4
3 1 ENTHRALLED 14.0% 7.17 8
4 4 HARMONY GALAXY 10.2% 9.79 1
5 9 SMART CITY 6.9% 14.57 6
6 10 KINGLY DEMEANOR 6.8% 14.66 2
7 7 CAN'T GO WONG 6.0% 16.59 10
8 2 ROMANTIC LAOS 4.9% 20.28 5
9 5 OCEAN IMPACT 4.0% 25.19 9
10 8 FOREVER GLORIOUS 3.0% 33.03 12
11 6 SHARPEN BRIGHT 1.9% 52.23 11
12 12 SPLENDID FORCE 1.4% 69.22 7
ROMANTIC FANTASYNOBLE PURSUITENTHRALLEDHARMONY GALAXY — wonSMART CITYKINGLY DEMEANORCAN'T GO WONGROMANTIC LAOSOCEAN IMPACTFOREVER GLORIOUSSHARPEN BRIGHTSPLENDID FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 89.5

PLACE

4 24

10 19

11 22

QUINELLA

4,10 391.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 111

4,11 91.5

10,11 80

FORECAST

4,10 609

TIERCE

4,10,11 2,481

TRIO

4,10,11 465

FIRST 4

3,4,10,11 449

QUARTET

4,10,11,3 11,312

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

1/4 198

1/10 50