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Happy Valley · 2026-04-15 · 20:05

SUCCESSFUL CONVERSION 1800M HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1800m Course A 12 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:49.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 HARMONY GALAXY Closed strongly TT 1:49.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · C S Shum 3 8.9 —
2 10 KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz 4 6.0 SH
3 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Richards 6 7.7 SH
4 3 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes 1 6.1 1/2
5 2 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT H Bowman · W K Mo 10 26.0 1/2
6 9 SMART CITY CP/XB K Teetan · P F Yiu 5 6.3 3/4
7 12 SPLENDID FORCE Closed strongly SR-/B2 M Chadwick · C H Yip 11 133.0 2-1/4
8 1 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size 9 3.0 2-1/4
9 5 OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Whyte 7 26.0 2-1/2
10 7 CAN'T GO WONG B/TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 2 20.0 3
11 6 SHARPEN BRIGHT B P N Wong · Y S Tsui 8 83.0 5-3/4
12 8 FOREVER GLORIOUS V/XB Y L Chung · B Crawford 12 113.0 9-1/2
— 0 FIGHTING MACHINE B/SR · P C Ng — — —
— 0 JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("SUCCESSFUL CONVERSION 1800M HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-15 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. HARMONY GALAXY, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by C S Shum, won, with KINGLY DEMEANOR second and ROMANTIC FANTASY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite ENTHRALLED finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HARMONY GALAXY—2. KINGLY DEMEANOR+0.1L3. ROMANTIC FANTASY+0.1L4. NOBLE PURSUIT+0.5L5. ROMANTIC LAOS+0.5L6. SMART CITY+0.75L7. SPLENDID FORCE+2.25L8. ENTHRALLED+2.25L9. OCEAN IMPACT+2.5L10. CAN'T GO WONG+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROMANTIC FANTASY (25.2%) finished 3rd — the winner HARMONY GALAXY was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY 25.2% 3.98 3
2 3 NOBLE PURSUIT 15.7% 6.38 4
3 1 ENTHRALLED 14.0% 7.17 8
4 4 HARMONY GALAXY 10.2% 9.79 1
5 9 SMART CITY 6.9% 14.57 6
6 10 KINGLY DEMEANOR 6.8% 14.66 2
7 7 CAN'T GO WONG 6.0% 16.59 10
8 2 ROMANTIC LAOS 4.9% 20.28 5
9 5 OCEAN IMPACT 4.0% 25.19 9
10 8 FOREVER GLORIOUS 3.0% 33.03 12
11 6 SHARPEN BRIGHT 1.9% 52.23 11
12 12 SPLENDID FORCE 1.4% 69.22 7
ROMANTIC FANTASYNOBLE PURSUITENTHRALLEDHARMONY GALAXY — wonSMART CITYKINGLY DEMEANORCAN'T GO WONGROMANTIC LAOSOCEAN IMPACTFOREVER GLORIOUSSHARPEN BRIGHTSPLENDID FORCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 89.5

PLACE

4 24

10 19

11 22

QUINELLA

4,10 391.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,10 111

4,11 91.5

10,11 80

FORECAST

4,10 609

TIERCE

4,10,11 2,481

TRIO

4,10,11 465

FIRST 4

3,4,10,11 449

QUARTET

4,10,11,3 11,312

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

1/4 198

1/10 50