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Sha Tin · 2026-04-26 · 07:45

THE FWD CHAMPIONS MILE

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners

Race 7 ("THE FWD CHAMPIONS MILE") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-26 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MY WISH, ridden by H Bowman and trained by M Newnham, won, with CAP FERRAT second and DOCKLANDS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite JANTAR MANTAR finished 13th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:32.37
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 MY WISH Closed strongly XB 1:32.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · M Newnham 10 5.4
2 9 CAP FERRAT Closed strongly C Williams · K W Lui 14 37.0 N
3 3 DOCKLANDS Closed strongly XB/TT M Zahra · H Eustace 1 19.0 3/4
4 10 INVINCIBLE IBIS Closed strongly J McDonald · M Newnham 5 9.8 1
5 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE CP-/B1 C L Chau · P F Yiu 12 15.0 3-1/2
6 11 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly E Brown · P F Yiu 3 22.0 3-1/2
7 7 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · P C Ng 13 23.0 4-1/4
8 12 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB H Bentley · K W Lui 9 214.0 4-1/4
9 13 COPARTNER PRANCE Led early XB J Orman · K W Lui 11 115.0 4-1/2
10 14 LITTLE PARADISE TT Z Purton · K H Ting 2 7.1 4-1/2
11 4 LUCKY SWEYNESSE K C Leung · K L Man 4 5.8 5
12 8 STRAUSS XB J Moreira · R Takei 7 29.0 8-1/4
13 1 JANTAR MANTAR H Y Kawada · T Takano 6 3.0 10-1/4
14 6 RED LION B1 A Atzeni · J Size 8 89.0 10-3/4
0 PATCH OF THETA XB · K W Lui
0 STORMY GROVE H/TT · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MY WISH2. CAP FERRAT+0.05L3. DOCKLANDS+0.75L4. INVINCIBLE IBIS+1L5. VOYAGE BUBBLE+3.5L6. SUNLIGHT POWER+3.5L7. GALAXY PATCH+4.25L8. CHANCHENG GLORY+4.25L9. COPARTNER PRANCE+4.5L10. LITTLE PARADISE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick INVINCIBLE IBIS (20.8%) finished 4th — the winner MY WISH was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 INVINCIBLE IBIS 20.8% 4.82 4
2 5 MY WISH 18.4% 5.44 1
3 14 LITTLE PARADISE 16.5% 6.06 10
4 8 STRAUSS 7.9% 12.64 12
5 4 LUCKY SWEYNESSE 7.5% 13.38 11
6 1 JANTAR MANTAR 4.8% 20.98 13
7 2 VOYAGE BUBBLE 4.4% 22.78 5
8 7 GALAXY PATCH 3.7% 26.67 7
9 11 SUNLIGHT POWER 3.0% 33.08 6
10 6 RED LION 3.0% 33.60 14
11 3 DOCKLANDS 2.9% 34.26 3
12 12 CHANCHENG GLORY 2.5% 39.91 8
13 9 CAP FERRAT 2.5% 40.50 2
14 13 COPARTNER PRANCE 2.2% 45.87 9
INVINCIBLE IBISMY WISH — wonLITTLE PARADISESTRAUSSLUCKY SWEYNESSEJANTAR MANTARVOYAGE BUBBLEGALAXY PATCHSUNLIGHT POWERRED LIONDOCKLANDSCHANCHENG GLORYCAP FERRATCOPARTNER PRANCE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 54

PLACE

3 58

5 19.5

9 58.5

QUINELLA

5,9 644.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 129.5

3,9 887

5,9 188.5

FORECAST

5,9 959

TIERCE

5,9,3 30,648

TRIO

3,5,9 6,045

FIRST 4

3,5,9,10 12,282

QUARTET

5,9,3,10 187,520

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,13,14/3,5,9 983,270

6TH DOUBLE

4/5 169

4/9 389.5

TRIPLE TRIO

1,2,5/4,13,14/3,5,9 12,258,111

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

1,2,5/4,13,14/Any Combination 2,332