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Sha Tin · 2026-04-26 · 08:20

FWD INSURANCE CCB (ASIA) HANDICAP

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 8 ("FWD INSURANCE CCB (ASIA) HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-26 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MIGHTY COMMANDER, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with HELENE SUPAFEELING second and FIT FOR BEAUTY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite FIT FOR BEAUTY finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.03
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 MIGHTY COMMANDER Closed strongly TT 1:21.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes 4 18.0
2 1 HELENE SUPAFEELING Closed strongly XB/TT J McDonald · D Eustace 1 5.9 1/2
3 4 FIT FOR BEAUTY Closed strongly H Z Purton · J Size 11 3.4 1/2
4 10 AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 2 6.9 3/4
5 11 CALIFORNIA WAVES V/XB/TT K Teetan · W K Mo 7 25.0 1-1/2
6 3 POWER OF VITAM Closed strongly J Orman · D J Hall 6 6.0 2
7 13 POSITIVE SMILE Closed strongly B/TT C Williams · D A Hayes 14 13.0 2-1/4
8 6 DARYL FLASH B E Brown · Y S Tsui 5 60.0 3
9 14 LEGENDARY YEARS Closed strongly XB M L Yeung · B Crawford 3 126.0 3
10 12 HAROLD WIN Led early V/XB P N Wong · K W Lui 13 17.0 3-1/4
11 7 THE RED HARE PC-/H/P2/TT H Y Yuen · F C Lor 10 6.2 3-1/2
12 2 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B2/TT A Badel · K L Man 12 67.0 5-1/2
13 8 CLASS V1 H Bentley · P F Yiu 9 239.0 7
14 5 ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip 8 76.0 13-1/2
0 COMPLETE UNKNOWN TT · W K Mo
0 BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MIGHTY COMMANDER2. HELENE SUPAFEELING+0.5L3. FIT FOR BEAUTY+0.5L4. AEROINVINCIBLE+0.75L5. CALIFORNIA WAVES+1.5L6. POWER OF VITAM+2L7. POSITIVE SMILE+2.25L8. DARYL FLASH+3L9. LEGENDARY YEARS+3L10. HAROLD WIN+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick AEROINVINCIBLE (19.2%) finished 4th — the winner MIGHTY COMMANDER was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 AEROINVINCIBLE 19.2% 5.21 4
2 4 FIT FOR BEAUTY 18.8% 5.31 3
3 7 THE RED HARE 17.3% 5.79 11
4 1 HELENE SUPAFEELING 10.7% 9.38 2
5 9 MIGHTY COMMANDER 8.5% 11.77 1
6 3 POWER OF VITAM 5.2% 19.35 6
7 12 HAROLD WIN 4.3% 23.06 10
8 13 POSITIVE SMILE 3.2% 30.93 7
9 11 CALIFORNIA WAVES 3.1% 32.12 5
10 2 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 2.7% 37.63 12
11 5 ANOTHER WORLD 2.3% 42.95 14
12 14 LEGENDARY YEARS 2.3% 43.95 9
13 6 DARYL FLASH 1.5% 67.11 8
14 8 CLASS 1.0% 105.03 13
AEROINVINCIBLEFIT FOR BEAUTYTHE RED HAREHELENE SUPAFEELINGMIGHTY COMMANDER — wonPOWER OF VITAMHAROLD WINPOSITIVE SMILECALIFORNIA WAVESCHIU CHOW SPIRITANOTHER WORLDLEGENDARY YEARSDARYL FLASHCLASS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 189

PLACE

1 23

4 15.5

9 53.5

QUINELLA

1,9 654.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 44.5

1,9 200

4,9 116.5

FORECAST

9,1 1,618

TIERCE

9,1,4 4,097

TRIO

1,4,9 526

FIRST 4

1,4,9,10 634

QUARTET

9,1,4,10 23,377

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

5/1 84.5

5/9 764