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Sha Tin · 2026-04-26 · 10:10

FWD INSURANCE CMB WING LUNG BANK HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 2 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 11 ("FWD INSURANCE CMB WING LUNG BANK HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-26 was Class 2 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WINNING OVATION, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won, with SIX PACK second and MIGHTY MASTS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite SALON S finished 4th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #8 EMBLAZON — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:20.45
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 WINNING OVATION Closed strongly TT 1:20.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz 2 4.0
2 9 SIX PACK Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Whyte 1 7.7 1-3/4
3 12 MIGHTY MASTS Closed strongly XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So 6 4.0 2-1/4
4 11 SALON S Led early M F Poon · F C Lor 4 2.8 2-1/4
5 10 DROMBEG BANNER Y L Chung · P C Ng 12 136.0 2-1/2
6 13 JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly H C Williams · J Size 9 12.0 3-1/4
7 3 STORM RIDER CP2 H Bentley · D A Hayes 5 178.0 4-1/4
8 6 KAHOLO ANGEL Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 126.0 4-3/4
9 7 INFINITE RESOLVE Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham 3 39.0 5
10 8 EMBLAZON TT C L Chau · W K Mo 14 48.0 5
11 4 MUGEN J Moreira · B Crawford 7 32.0 5
12 2 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly H Bowman · D Eustace 11 47.0 6-1/2
13 1 PACKING HERMOD B- L Ferraris · K W Lui 13 58.0 6-3/4
14 14 WE ARE HERO B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 10 160.0 10-3/4
0 BEAUTY BOLT TT · A S Cruz
0 AKASHVANI B · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. WINNING OVATION2. SIX PACK+1.75L3. MIGHTY MASTS+2.25L4. SALON S+2.25L5. DROMBEG BANNER+2.5L6. JUNEAU PRIDE+3.25L7. STORM RIDER+4.25L8. KAHOLO ANGEL+4.75L9. INFINITE RESOLVE+5L10. EMBLAZON+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SALON S (35.1%) finished 4th — the winner WINNING OVATION was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 SALON S 35.1% 2.85 4
2 5 WINNING OVATION 21.9% 4.58 1
3 9 SIX PACK 10.4% 9.62 2
4 12 MIGHTY MASTS 5.9% 16.93 3
5 4 MUGEN 4.0% 25.06 11
6 7 INFINITE RESOLVE 3.8% 26.06 9
7 13 JUNEAU PRIDE 3.7% 26.84 6
8 1 PACKING HERMOD 2.9% 34.32 13
9 8 EMBLAZON 2.8% 35.85 10
10 2 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 2.6% 37.86 12
11 10 DROMBEG BANNER 1.8% 55.38 5
12 3 STORM RIDER 1.7% 57.16 7
13 6 KAHOLO ANGEL 1.7% 57.56 8
14 14 WE ARE HERO 1.6% 64.08 14
SALON SWINNING OVATION — wonSIX PACKMIGHTY MASTSMUGENINFINITE RESOLVEJUNEAU PRIDEPACKING HERMODEMBLAZONLIGHT YEARS CHARMDROMBEG BANNERSTORM RIDERKAHOLO ANGELWE ARE HERO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 40

PLACE

5 14.5

9 19.5

12 16.5

QUINELLA

5,9 119.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,9 39.5

5,12 35

9,12 52

FORECAST

5,9 210

TIERCE

5,9,12 846

TRIO

5,9,12 176

FIRST 4

5,9,11,12 74

QUARTET

5,9,12,11 2,198

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

8/5 355.5

8/9 131.5

2ND TREBLE

2/8/5 569

2/8/9 177

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,5,8/5,9,12 12,204

SIX UP

4/5/9/2/8/5 162,272

4,13/5,9/1,9/1,2/5,8/5,9 6,646

1 [Z Purton]

13 [C S Shum]