Sha Tin · 2026-04-26 · 08:55
THE FWD QEII CUP
Race 9
Race 9 ("THE FWD QEII CUP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-26 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won, with MASQUERADE BALL second and SOSIE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 2:00.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 1.3 | — |
| 2 | 1 | MASQUERADE BALL Closed strongly C Lemaire · T Tezuka | C Lemaire | T Tezuka | 6 | 5.6 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | SOSIE Closed strongly M Guyon · A Fabre | M Guyon | A Fabre | 2 | 8.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | ROYAL CHAMPION XB O Murphy · K Burke | O Murphy | K Burke | 1 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | GIOVANNI H J Collett · H Sugiyama | J Collett | H Sugiyama | 8 | 101.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | RUBYLOT B-/CP2/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 104.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | NUMBERS Led early XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 4 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | JUNE TAKE H/SR J Moreira · H Take | J Moreira | H Take | 7 | 35.0 | 6 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 44.7% | 2.23 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | SOSIE | 19.5% | 5.13 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | MASQUERADE BALL | 12.3% | 8.13 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | NUMBERS | 8.8% | 11.33 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | JUNE TAKE | 6.9% | 14.49 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | GIOVANNI | 3.0% | 33.72 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | ROYAL CHAMPION | 2.7% | 36.42 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | RUBYLOT | 2.0% | 49.59 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 13
PLACE
1 13.5
2 10.1
4 18
QUINELLA
1,2 27
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 15.5
1,4 28
2,4 17.5
FORECAST
2,1 30
TIERCE
2,1,4 76
TRIO
1,2,4 35
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 54
QUARTET
2,1,4,3 235
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,9/1,2,4 2,068
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 110
9/2 322