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Sha Tin · 2026-04-26 · 14:00

FWD INSURANCE BOCOM HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course A 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:21.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 KING DANCE Closed strongly B/XB 1:21.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 4 6.1 —
2 4 NYX GLUCK Closed strongly CP1 E Brown · W K Mo 7 11.0 SH
3 14 STAR FIGURE Closed strongly CP2 B Avdulla · J Richards 8 54.0 1/2
4 12 ACE Closed strongly TT C L Chau · M Newnham 13 4.5 1-1/2
5 1 STAR MAC Closed strongly B-/TT J McDonald · D J Hall 6 13.0 1-3/4
6 11 LUCKY BALERION Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 2 10.0 4-1/2
7 3 ROBOT STAR Closed strongly CP-/B1 H Bowman · K L Man 10 8.9 6
8 10 PHOENIX LIGHT A Atzeni · C H Yip 5 28.0 7-1/2
9 13 CALIFORNIA BAY V/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 14 6.5 7-3/4
10 6 POET'S REIGN TT O Murphy · W Y So 1 45.0 8-3/4
11 9 DAILY ACCLAIM J Moreira · C Fownes 3 5.6 10
12 8 GREEN ANGEL Led early B1 R Kingscote · P C Ng 9 56.0 10-1/2
13 7 WARRIORS DREAM XB/TT L Hewitson · B Crawford 11 25.0 10-1/2
14 2 JOLTIN CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes 12 285.0 20-1/4
— 0 KYRUS TREASURE CP · D Eustace — — —
— 0 ALABAMA SONG H · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 ("FWD INSURANCE BOCOM HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-26 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING DANCE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won, with NYX GLUCK second and STAR FIGURE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite ACE finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KING DANCE—2. NYX GLUCK+0.1L3. STAR FIGURE+0.5L4. ACE+1.5L5. STAR MAC+1.75L6. LUCKY BALERION+4.5L7. ROBOT STAR+6L8. PHOENIX LIGHT+7.5L9. CALIFORNIA BAY+7.75L10. POET'S REIGN+8.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NYX GLUCK (14.8%) finished 2nd — the winner KING DANCE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 NYX GLUCK 14.8% 6.78 2
2 12 ACE 14.2% 7.02 4
3 9 DAILY ACCLAIM 12.8% 7.80 11
4 3 ROBOT STAR 12.4% 8.08 7
5 5 KING DANCE 11.5% 8.71 1
6 1 STAR MAC 6.7% 15.03 5
7 10 PHOENIX LIGHT 6.3% 15.83 8
8 13 CALIFORNIA BAY 4.9% 20.33 9
9 7 WARRIORS DREAM 3.7% 27.14 13
10 11 LUCKY BALERION 3.5% 28.34 6
11 14 STAR FIGURE 3.3% 30.66 3
12 8 GREEN ANGEL 2.8% 35.91 12
13 6 POET'S REIGN 2.1% 47.62 10
14 2 JOLTIN 1.1% 91.12 14
NYX GLUCKACEDAILY ACCLAIMROBOT STARKING DANCE — wonSTAR MACPHOENIX LIGHTCALIFORNIA BAYWARRIORS DREAMLUCKY BALERIONSTAR FIGUREGREEN ANGELPOET'S REIGNJOLTIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 61.5

PLACE

4 35

5 19.5

14 118

QUINELLA

4,5 362.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 109.5

4,14 706

5,14 449

FORECAST

5,4 574

TIERCE

5,4,14 19,295

TRIO

4,5,14 4,397

FIRST 4

4,5,12,14 4,715

QUARTET

5,4,14,12 135,026

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

2/4 85

2/5 356