Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-04-26 · 13:00

FWD INSURANCE GOAHEAD GROUP HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course A 14 runners
Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:33.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 BIG RETURN Closed strongly H/TT 1:33.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · J Richards 3 3.6 —
2 7 JOLLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu 8 3.4 N
3 1 TURIN CHAMPIONS Closed strongly SR Z Purton · D A Hayes 4 8.7 1-1/4
4 3 FAMILY KNIGHT Closed strongly E/SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte 6 33.0 3-1/4
5 8 AMAZING AWARD B/TT E Brown · D Eustace 5 19.0 3-3/4
6 13 FLYING AMANI Closed strongly CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall 7 18.0 4-3/4
7 9 CIRCUIT MARSHAL Closed strongly TT C L Chau · M Newnham 12 9.9 4-3/4
8 11 SMILING FALCON B H Bentley · K H Ting 1 14.0 5-1/2
9 4 AESTHETICISM Closed strongly PC- L Hewitson · P C Ng 9 28.0 5-3/4
10 12 AMAZING FUN Led early TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 11 99.0 6-1/2
11 5 MASSIVE GLORY CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 10 30.0 7
12 10 TYCOON EXPRESS TT J Moreira · C Fownes 13 24.0 8-1/4
13 14 SPECIAL HEDGE B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang 2 25.0 9-1/2
14 2 SHAMZ TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 14 15.0 13
— 0 HONORARY CP/H/TT · W K Mo — — —
— 0 GRAND TURBO TT · C S Shum — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 ("FWD INSURANCE GOAHEAD GROUP HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-04-26 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BIG RETURN, ridden by A Badel and trained by J Richards, won, with JOLLY BRILLIANT second and TURIN CHAMPIONS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite JOLLY BRILLIANT finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BIG RETURN—2. JOLLY BRILLIANT+0.05L3. TURIN CHAMPIONS+1.25L4. FAMILY KNIGHT+3.25L5. AMAZING AWARD+3.75L6. FLYING AMANI+4.75L7. CIRCUIT MARSHAL+4.75L8. SMILING FALCON+5.5L9. AESTHETICISM+5.75L10. AMAZING FUN+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick JOLLY BRILLIANT (17.3%) finished 2nd — the winner BIG RETURN was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 JOLLY BRILLIANT 17.3% 5.78 2
2 6 BIG RETURN 14.2% 7.04 1
3 11 SMILING FALCON 14.1% 7.10 8
4 9 CIRCUIT MARSHAL 10.6% 9.47 7
5 1 TURIN CHAMPIONS 7.5% 13.37 3
6 10 TYCOON EXPRESS 7.1% 14.04 12
7 8 AMAZING AWARD 6.3% 15.83 5
8 13 FLYING AMANI 5.0% 20.07 6
9 5 MASSIVE GLORY 3.7% 26.68 11
10 2 SHAMZ 3.5% 28.29 14
11 3 FAMILY KNIGHT 3.3% 29.86 4
12 4 AESTHETICISM 3.0% 33.51 9
13 14 SPECIAL HEDGE 2.3% 44.13 13
14 12 AMAZING FUN 2.1% 47.84 10
JOLLY BRILLIANTBIG RETURN — wonSMILING FALCONCIRCUIT MARSHALTURIN CHAMPIONSTYCOON EXPRESSAMAZING AWARDFLYING AMANIMASSIVE GLORYSHAMZFAMILY KNIGHTAESTHETICISMSPECIAL HEDGEAMAZING FUN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 36

PLACE

1 27

6 15

7 15

QUINELLA

6,7 63

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 61

1,7 52

6,7 31.5

FORECAST

6,7 160

TIERCE

6,7,1 809

TRIO

1,6,7 166

FIRST 4

1,3,6,7 892

QUARTET

6,7,1,3 11,288

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

13/6 169

13/7 29