沙田 · 2026-04-26 · 05:00
FWD INSURANCE GOAHEAD GROUP HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-04-26沙田第2場「FWD INSURANCE GOAHEAD GROUP HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Badel策騎、J Richards訓練的BIG RETURN勝出。JOLLY BRILLIANT獲得亞軍；TURIN CHAMPIONS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門JOLLY BRILLIANT跑獲第2名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BIG RETURN 後段發力 H/TT 1:33.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 3 | 3.6 | — |
| 2 | 7 | JOLLY BRILLIANT 後段發力 B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 8 | 3.4 | N |
| 3 | 1 | TURIN CHAMPIONS 後段發力 SR Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | FAMILY KNIGHT 後段發力 E/SR/TT M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 6 | 33.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | AMAZING AWARD B/TT E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 5 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | FLYING AMANI 後段發力 CP/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL 後段發力 TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 12 | 9.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | SMILING FALCON B H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | AESTHETICISM 後段發力 PC- L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 9 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | AMAZING FUN 早段領放 TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 11 | 99.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | MASSIVE GLORY CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 30.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | TYCOON EXPRESS TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | SPECIAL HEDGE B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 25.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | SHAMZ TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 15.0 | 13 |
| — | 0 | HONORARY CP/H/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GRAND TURBO TT · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JOLLY BRILLIANT | 17.3% | 5.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | BIG RETURN | 14.2% | 7.04 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | SMILING FALCON | 14.1% | 7.10 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | CIRCUIT MARSHAL | 10.6% | 9.47 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | TURIN CHAMPIONS | 7.5% | 13.37 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | TYCOON EXPRESS | 7.1% | 14.04 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | AMAZING AWARD | 6.3% | 15.83 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | FLYING AMANI | 5.0% | 20.07 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | MASSIVE GLORY | 3.7% | 26.68 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | SHAMZ | 3.5% | 28.29 | 14 |
| 11 | 3 | FAMILY KNIGHT | 3.3% | 29.86 | 4 |
| 12 | 4 | AESTHETICISM | 3.0% | 33.51 | 9 |
| 13 | 14 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 2.3% | 44.13 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | AMAZING FUN | 2.1% | 47.84 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 36
PLACE
1 27
6 15
7 15
QUINELLA
6,7 63
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 61
1,7 52
6,7 31.5
FORECAST
6,7 160
TIERCE
6,7,1 809
TRIO
1,6,7 166
FIRST 4
1,3,6,7 892
QUARTET
6,7,1,3 11,288
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
13/6 169
13/7 29