沙田 · 2026-04-26 · 05:30
FWD INSURANCE ICBC (ASIA) HANDICAP
第 3場
2026-04-26沙田第3場「FWD INSURANCE ICBC (ASIA) HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、B Crawford訓練的MR INCREDIBLE勝出。BETTER AND BETTER獲得亞軍；SOLID CAR獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門ABSOLUTE HEART跑獲第8名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MR INCREDIBLE 1:08.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 5.2 | — |
| 2 | 13 | BETTER AND BETTER H/P/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 8 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SOLID CAR B E Brown · D J Hall | E Brown | D J Hall | 3 | 6.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY PROMISE J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | HAYDAY H Y Yuen · P F Yiu | H Y Yuen | P F Yiu | 11 | 20.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | OLDTOWN XB1/TT- J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 7 | 20.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | MAJESTIC LIFE TT B Avdulla · C H Yip | B Avdulla | C H Yip | 13 | 39.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ABSOLUTE HEART TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 2.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY B/TT M L Yeung · J Richards | M L Yeung | J Richards | 10 | 76.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | APEX GLORY TT1 C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 51.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | MASSIVE REWARD TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 4 | 30.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | PRECISION MIND TT M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 12 | 102.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | JACKSON HABIT XB1/TT- H Bowman · K H Ting | H Bowman | K H Ting | 9 | 153.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 8 | CLASSIC TRIPLE SR/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 14 | 238.0 | 29 |
| — | 0 | QUARTZ LEGEND TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LUCKY DOCTOR XB/TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ABSOLUTE HEART | 21.6% | 4.63 | 8 |
| 2 | 2 | MR INCREDIBLE | 20.4% | 4.91 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | HAPPY PROMISE | 14.5% | 6.90 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | SOLID CAR | 10.1% | 9.86 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | BETTER AND BETTER | 9.2% | 10.84 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | HAYDAY | 5.1% | 19.68 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | MASSIVE REWARD | 3.6% | 27.78 | 11 |
| 8 | 7 | APEX GLORY | 3.2% | 30.99 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | PRECISION MIND | 3.1% | 32.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY | 2.2% | 45.61 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | OLDTOWN | 2.1% | 47.92 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | CLASSIC TRIPLE | 2.0% | 51.28 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | JACKSON HABIT | 1.6% | 64.16 | 13 |
| 14 | 14 | MAJESTIC LIFE | 1.4% | 72.93 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 52
PLACE
2 15
6 19.5
13 19.5
QUINELLA
2,13 149
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 44.5
2,13 48.5
6,13 53.5
FORECAST
2,13 284
TIERCE
2,13,6 1,330
TRIO
2,6,13 243
FIRST 4
2,6,9,13 510
QUARTET
2,13,6,9 9,574
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,7/2,6,13 4,824
2ND DOUBLE
6/2 211
6/13 42.5