沙田 · 2026-04-26 · 07:10
FWD 1828 HANDICAP
第 6場
2026-04-26沙田第6場「FWD 1828 HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bowman策騎、D J Hall訓練的GENEVA勝出。THUNDER KIT獲得亞軍；LUCKY CANDY獲得季軍。2.8倍大熱門COOL BOY跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GENEVA 1:08.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 9 | 3.9 | — |
| 2 | 13 | THUNDER KIT H1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | LUCKY CANDY TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 12 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | COOL BOY CP/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 13 | 2.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 3 | 37.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | CELESTIAL HERO B-/CP2 J Moreira · D J Whyte | J Moreira | D J Whyte | 4 | 7.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | SAVVY BRILLIANT XB/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 1 | 68.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | PEGAS TT E Brown · Y S Tsui | E Brown | Y S Tsui | 8 | 7.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 5 | 161.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | OUTGATE TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 58.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 2 | 11.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | GRIT SPIRIT XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 264.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | FLYING HUNTER Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 14 | 361.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 11 | 55.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MICKLEY TT · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MAGNEMITE SR/XB/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | COOL BOY | 32.1% | 3.11 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | GENEVA | 15.6% | 6.41 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | THUNDER KIT | 10.0% | 10.03 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | CELESTIAL HERO | 9.7% | 10.30 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 9.4% | 10.58 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | PEGAS | 5.0% | 20.16 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | LUCKY CANDY | 3.8% | 26.01 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | CHATEAUNEUF | 3.2% | 31.73 | 14 |
| 9 | 9 | OUTGATE | 2.6% | 38.46 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | SAVVY BRILLIANT | 2.5% | 39.30 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | CIRCUIT GRAND SLAM | 2.4% | 42.32 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | SUGAR SUGAR | 2.2% | 45.37 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | GRIT SPIRIT | 0.8% | 131.05 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | FLYING HUNTER | 0.7% | 137.52 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 39.5
PLACE
4 14.5
13 22.5
14 47.5
QUINELLA
4,13 157.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,13 58.5
4,14 124
13,14 203
FORECAST
4,13 337
TIERCE
4,13,14 2,923
TRIO
4,13,14 787
FIRST 4
4,5,13,14 386
QUARTET
4,13,14,5 10,643
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
1/4 40.5
1/13 11