沙田 · 2026-04-26 · 10:10
FWD INSURANCE CMB WING LUNG BANK HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-04-26沙田第11場「FWD INSURANCE CMB WING LUNG BANK HANDICAP」，Class 2，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、A S Cruz訓練的WINNING OVATION勝出。SIX PACK獲得亞軍；MIGHTY MASTS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門SALON S跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNING OVATION 後段發力 TT 1:20.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | SIX PACK 後段發力 B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 1 | 7.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | MIGHTY MASTS 後段發力 XB/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 4.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SALON S 早段領放 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | DROMBEG BANNER Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 12 | 136.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 13 | JUNEAU PRIDE 後段發力 H C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 9 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | STORM RIDER CP2 H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 5 | 178.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | KAHOLO ANGEL 後段發力 TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 126.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | INFINITE RESOLVE 後段發力 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 3 | 39.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | EMBLAZON TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 14 | 48.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | MUGEN J Moreira · B Crawford | J Moreira | B Crawford | 7 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM 後段發力 H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 11 | 47.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD B- L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 13 | 58.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | WE ARE HERO B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 10 | 160.0 | 10-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY BOLT TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | AKASHVANI B · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SALON S | 35.1% | 2.85 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | WINNING OVATION | 21.9% | 4.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SIX PACK | 10.4% | 9.62 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | MIGHTY MASTS | 5.9% | 16.93 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | MUGEN | 4.0% | 25.06 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | INFINITE RESOLVE | 3.8% | 26.06 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 3.7% | 26.84 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD | 2.9% | 34.32 | 13 |
| 9 | 8 | EMBLAZON | 2.8% | 35.85 | 10 |
| 10 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 2.6% | 37.86 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | DROMBEG BANNER | 1.8% | 55.38 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | STORM RIDER | 1.7% | 57.16 | 7 |
| 13 | 6 | KAHOLO ANGEL | 1.7% | 57.56 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | WE ARE HERO | 1.6% | 64.08 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 40
PLACE
5 14.5
9 19.5
12 16.5
QUINELLA
5,9 119.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 39.5
5,12 35
9,12 52
FORECAST
5,9 210
TIERCE
5,9,12 846
TRIO
5,9,12 176
FIRST 4
5,9,11,12 74
QUARTET
5,9,12,11 2,198
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
8/5 355.5
8/9 131.5
2ND TREBLE
2/8/5 569
2/8/9 177
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,5,8/5,9,12 12,204
SIX UP
4/5/9/2/8/5 162,272
4,13/5,9/1,9/1,2/5,8/5,9 6,646
1 [Z Purton] —
13 [C S Shum] —