沙田 · 2026-04-26 · 04:30
FWD INSURANCE ACT PRIVATE HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-04-26沙田第1場「FWD INSURANCE ACT PRIVATE HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的PACKING KING勝出。LUCRATIVE EIGHT獲得亞軍；NAVAS G獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PACKING KING TT1 1:08.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 3.3 | — |
| 2 | 9 | LUCRATIVE EIGHT TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.8 | N |
| 3 | 10 | NAVAS G XB1 H Y Yuen · D J Whyte | H Y Yuen | D J Whyte | 7 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | MATZDEN CP-/TT M Zahra · J Richards | M Zahra | J Richards | 2 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 5 | THE HEIR J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 8.6 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | GUTSY BRAVO H1/P1 J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 12 | 55.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | A TIME FOR US B/TT B Avdulla · K W Lui | B Avdulla | K W Lui | 3 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 11 | PRESTIGE HALL H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 6 | 3.3 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | AKERMANIS GOLD E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 14 | 42.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | BEAUTY GEMINI TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 91.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | LUCKY TWENTY B- L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 75.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | HIGH RISE VICTORY TT1 C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 11 | 96.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | I EXCELLE B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 13 | 182.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | BRILLIANT WINNER H-/XB/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 9 | 271.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 0 | GRAND PATCH · K L Man | — | K L Man | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | TOP THRONE CP/TT · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE HEIR | 25.6% | 3.90 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | LUCRATIVE EIGHT | 24.7% | 4.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | PRESTIGE HALL | 13.1% | 7.63 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | PACKING KING | 11.4% | 8.75 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | NAVAS G | 6.8% | 14.65 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | AKERMANIS GOLD | 3.3% | 30.12 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | A TIME FOR US | 2.9% | 34.26 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | MATZDEN | 2.4% | 41.93 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | HIGH RISE VICTORY | 2.3% | 43.30 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | GUTSY BRAVO | 2.1% | 47.79 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | I EXCELLE | 1.7% | 60.43 | 13 |
| 12 | 4 | LUCKY TWENTY | 1.7% | 60.59 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | BEAUTY GEMINI | 1.0% | 96.71 | 10 |
| 14 | 6 | BRILLIANT WINNER | 0.9% | 107.71 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 33.5
PLACE
9 17
10 49
13 14.5
QUINELLA
9,13 92.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 144.5
9,13 38.5
10,13 114
FORECAST
13,9 183
TIERCE
13,9,10 2,486
TRIO
9,10,13 640
FIRST 4
1,9,10,13 1,118
QUARTET
13,9,10,1 24,097