沙田 · 2026-04-26 · 08:20
FWD INSURANCE CCB (ASIA) HANDICAP
第 8場
2026-04-26沙田第8場「FWD INSURANCE CCB (ASIA) HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的MIGHTY COMMANDER勝出。HELENE SUPAFEELING獲得亞軍；FIT FOR BEAUTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門FIT FOR BEAUTY跑獲第3名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER 後段發力 TT 1:21.03 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 18.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | HELENE SUPAFEELING 後段發力 XB/TT J McDonald · D Eustace | J McDonald | D Eustace | 1 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | FIT FOR BEAUTY 後段發力 H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | AEROINVINCIBLE H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 2 | 6.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CALIFORNIA WAVES V/XB/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 7 | 25.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | POWER OF VITAM 後段發力 J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 6 | 6.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | POSITIVE SMILE 後段發力 B/TT C Williams · D A Hayes | C Williams | D A Hayes | 14 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | DARYL FLASH B E Brown · Y S Tsui | E Brown | Y S Tsui | 5 | 60.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 14 | LEGENDARY YEARS 後段發力 XB M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 3 | 126.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | HAROLD WIN 早段領放 V/XB P N Wong · K W Lui | P N Wong | K W Lui | 13 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | THE RED HARE PC-/H/P2/TT H Y Yuen · F C Lor | H Y Yuen | F C Lor | 10 | 6.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 後段發力 B2/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 67.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | CLASS V1 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 9 | 239.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 8 | 76.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | COMPLETE UNKNOWN TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY CRESCENT B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 19.2% | 5.21 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 18.8% | 5.31 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | THE RED HARE | 17.3% | 5.79 | 11 |
| 4 | 1 | HELENE SUPAFEELING | 10.7% | 9.38 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | MIGHTY COMMANDER | 8.5% | 11.77 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | POWER OF VITAM | 5.2% | 19.35 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | HAROLD WIN | 4.3% | 23.06 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | POSITIVE SMILE | 3.2% | 30.93 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 3.1% | 32.12 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 2.7% | 37.63 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | ANOTHER WORLD | 2.3% | 42.95 | 14 |
| 12 | 14 | LEGENDARY YEARS | 2.3% | 43.95 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | DARYL FLASH | 1.5% | 67.11 | 8 |
| 14 | 8 | CLASS | 1.0% | 105.03 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 189
PLACE
1 23
4 15.5
9 53.5
QUINELLA
1,9 654.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 44.5
1,9 200
4,9 116.5
FORECAST
9,1 1,618
TIERCE
9,1,4 4,097
TRIO
1,4,9 526
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 634
QUARTET
9,1,4,10 23,377
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
5/1 84.5
5/9 764