沙田 · 2026-04-26 · 06:00
FWD INSURANCE BOCOM HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-04-26沙田第4場「FWD INSURANCE BOCOM HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的KING DANCE勝出。NYX GLUCK獲得亞軍；STAR FIGURE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門ACE跑獲第4名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KING DANCE 後段發力 B/XB 1:21.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 6.1 | — |
| 2 | 4 | NYX GLUCK 後段發力 CP1 E Brown · W K Mo | E Brown | W K Mo | 7 | 11.0 | SH |
| 3 | 14 | STAR FIGURE 後段發力 CP2 B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 8 | 54.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | ACE 後段發力 TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 13 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | STAR MAC 後段發力 B-/TT J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 6 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | LUCKY BALERION 後段發力 CP/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | ROBOT STAR 後段發力 CP-/B1 H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 10 | 8.9 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | PHOENIX LIGHT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 5 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | CALIFORNIA BAY V/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 14 | 6.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | POET'S REIGN TT O Murphy · W Y So | O Murphy | W Y So | 1 | 45.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | DAILY ACCLAIM J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 5.6 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | GREEN ANGEL 早段領放 B1 R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 9 | 56.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM XB/TT L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 11 | 25.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | JOLTIN CP E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 12 | 285.0 | 20-1/4 |
| — | 0 | KYRUS TREASURE CP · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | ALABAMA SONG H · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NYX GLUCK | 14.8% | 6.78 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | ACE | 14.2% | 7.02 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | DAILY ACCLAIM | 12.8% | 7.80 | 11 |
| 4 | 3 | ROBOT STAR | 12.4% | 8.08 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | KING DANCE | 11.5% | 8.71 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | STAR MAC | 6.7% | 15.03 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 6.3% | 15.83 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | CALIFORNIA BAY | 4.9% | 20.33 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | WARRIORS DREAM | 3.7% | 27.14 | 13 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY BALERION | 3.5% | 28.34 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | STAR FIGURE | 3.3% | 30.66 | 3 |
| 12 | 8 | GREEN ANGEL | 2.8% | 35.91 | 12 |
| 13 | 6 | POET'S REIGN | 2.1% | 47.62 | 10 |
| 14 | 2 | JOLTIN | 1.1% | 91.12 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 61.5
PLACE
4 35
5 19.5
14 118
QUINELLA
4,5 362.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 109.5
4,14 706
5,14 449
FORECAST
5,4 574
TIERCE
5,4,14 19,295
TRIO
4,5,14 4,397
FIRST 4
4,5,12,14 4,715
QUARTET
5,4,14,12 135,026
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
2/4 85
2/5 356