Happy Valley · 2026-05-20 · 10:40
CELOSIA HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("CELOSIA HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-20 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. KING ALLOY, ridden by R Kingscote and trained by K H Ting, won, with SPICY SPANGLE second and HEROIC MASTER third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KING ALLOY B 0:56.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 1 | 2.6 | — |
| 2 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT H Bowman · W K Mo | H Bowman | W K Mo | 8 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HEROIC MASTER B/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 3 | 7.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT XB/TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 6 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE SR/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 11 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 5 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 10 | 49.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | COUNTRY DANCER E J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 7 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | CONSPIRATOR E Brown · B Crawford | E Brown | B Crawford | 2 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | HANDSOME BLOND E/B1/TT- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 12 | 100.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | CIRCUIT VICTORY B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 9.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | YOUNG STRIKER B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 66.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | SPORTIC WARRIOR CP-/TT · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FLYING AMANI CP-/XB-/B1/TT1 · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | KING ALLOY | 29.7% | 3.37 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 13.3% | 7.51 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | HEROIC MASTER | 12.0% | 8.35 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE | 11.7% | 8.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 3 | MAJESTIC DELIGHT | 6.8% | 14.71 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | COUNTRY DANCER | 5.9% | 16.88 | 8 |
| 7 | 10 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 5.1% | 19.70 | 11 |
| 8 | 4 | YOUNG STRIKER | 4.9% | 20.58 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | CONSPIRATOR | 4.0% | 25.25 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | ISLAND BREEZES | 2.5% | 40.00 | 7 |
| 11 | 12 | BRILLIANT FIRE | 2.3% | 44.02 | 5 |
| 12 | 6 | HANDSOME BLOND | 1.9% | 52.04 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 26
PLACE
1 21.5
7 13.5
8 19
QUINELLA
7,8 65
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 38.5
1,8 64
7,8 31
FORECAST
7,8 115
TIERCE
7,8,1 525
TRIO
1,7,8 118
FIRST 4
1,3,7,8 319
QUARTET
7,8,1,3 4,142