Happy Valley · 2026-05-20 · 14:50
THISTLE HANDICAP
Race 9
Race 9 ("THISTLE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-20 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VICTOR THE WINNER, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by P C Ng, won, with RISING FORCE second and BOTTOMUPTOGETHER third. The 4.4 favourite RISING FORCE finished 2nd.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT 1:08.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 9 | 59.0 | — |
| 2 | 7 | RISING FORCE R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 8 | 4.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER TT L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 6 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | GENEVA M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 8.3 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | SKY TRUST TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 9.2 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 12 | GLOWING PRAISES TT P N Wong · C W Chang | P N Wong | C W Chang | 2 | 9.5 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 6 | REGAL GEM H- K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 6.7 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | EMBLAZON CP1/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 1 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | STORM RIDER CP-/B2 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 28.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | COLOURFUL KING CP/TT E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 12 | 16.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | SIGHT HERMOSO H K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 4 | 7.1 | 14 |
| — | 0 | MAGIC CONTROL B-/TT · W K Mo | — | W K Mo | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | YOUNG CHAMPION B · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GLOWING PRAISES | 20.3% | 4.94 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | SIGHT HERMOSO | 12.8% | 7.81 | 12 |
| 3 | 11 | TURQUOISE VELOCITY | 9.7% | 10.27 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | SKY TRUST | 9.7% | 10.27 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | RISING FORCE | 9.3% | 10.74 | 2 |
| 6 | 2 | STORM RIDER | 7.7% | 13.04 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | REGAL GEM | 7.1% | 14.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | GENEVA | 6.8% | 14.63 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | EMBLAZON | 6.6% | 15.24 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 4.6% | 21.54 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | COLOURFUL KING | 3.0% | 33.89 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 2.4% | 42.37 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 590
PLACE
1 44
7 19
8 151.5
QUINELLA
7,8 1,244
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 118.5
1,8 1,063.5
7,8 414
FORECAST
8,7 3,557
TIERCE
8,7,1 46,328
TRIO
1,7,8 6,466
FIRST 4
1,7,8,10 12,771
QUARTET
8,7,1,10 599,796
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
11/6/7 354
11/6/8 30,980
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,7/1,7,8 76,481
8TH DOUBLE
6/7 49
6/8 3,253
SIX UP
8/2/5/11/6/8 735,099
8,10/2,7/3,5/4,11/3,6/7,8 1,134
8 [A S Cruz] —
14 [Others] —