Happy Valley · 2026-05-20 · 14:15
VIOLET HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("VIOLET HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-20 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. FLYING WROTE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by A S Cruz, won, with GIANT BALLON second and STORMING DRAGON third. The 3.3 favourite GIANT BALLON finished 2nd.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLYING WROTE TT 1:09.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 8 | 5.3 | — |
| 2 | 3 | GIANT BALLON B/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | STORMING DRAGON B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 3 | 4.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 1 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SKY CAP TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 10 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | ALL OUT FOR SIX E Brown · M Newnham | E Brown | M Newnham | 6 | 9.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 9 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 11 | GRIT SPIRIT XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 11 | 167.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | SUNNY DA BEST TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 7 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | KING MILES B/TT P N Wong · K W Lui | P N Wong | K W Lui | 5 | 41.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | BLUE ILLUSION B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 23.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | TELECOM FIGHTERS H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 42.0 | 9 |
| — | 0 | SUGAR GOODSON TT1 · C S Shum | — | C S Shum | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | FIERY STEED CP/TT1 · P F Yiu | — | P F Yiu | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GIANT BALLON | 40.0% | 2.50 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | SKY CAP | 23.3% | 4.29 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | STORMING DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.31 | 3 |
| 4 | 1 | ALL OUT FOR SIX | 6.3% | 15.90 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | FLYING WROTE | 5.4% | 18.44 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | KING MILES | 3.8% | 26.38 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | SUNNY DA BEST | 3.5% | 28.39 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | CHATEAUNEUF | 3.3% | 29.97 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | BLUE ILLUSION | 2.8% | 36.24 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.3% | 43.89 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 1.9% | 52.93 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | GRIT SPIRIT | 0.8% | 120.60 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 53
PLACE
3 15
6 18
7 15
QUINELLA
3,6 87.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 35.5
3,7 28
6,7 34.5
FORECAST
6,3 217
TIERCE
6,3,7 730
TRIO
3,6,7 103
FIRST 4
2,3,6,7 184
QUARTET
6,3,7,2 4,275
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
11/3 27
11/6 301.5