Happy Valley · 2026-05-20 · 11:40
DENDROBIUM HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("DENDROBIUM HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. VULCANUS, ridden by H T Mo and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with BROWNNEEDSFURTHER second and GEORGIAN SIGMA third. The 2.8 favourite GEORGIAN SIGMA finished 3rd.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | VULCANUS B 1:09.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 25.0 | — |
| 2 | 8 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER B-/V1/TT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 8 | 5.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | GEORGIAN SIGMA PC M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | CHEAHA TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LIVE WIRE B/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 11 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | CAPTAIN LINK B/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | HEROIC VANGUARD TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 12 | 128.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | FREE PONY P M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 9 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | COPARTNER FLEET XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 10 | 19.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | STORMY KNIGHT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 7 | 39.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LEGEND STAR B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 1 | 9.1 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | GENIUS BABY CP/XB/TT · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
| WV | 10 | KING CANNON CP/XB R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 5 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GEORGIAN SIGMA | 19.1% | 5.24 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | BROWNNEEDSFURTHER | 17.5% | 5.72 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | LIVE WIRE | 11.8% | 8.47 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | LEGEND STAR | 11.1% | 9.04 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | CAPTAIN LINK | 8.8% | 11.41 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | FREE PONY | 7.7% | 13.04 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | VULCANUS | 5.9% | 16.94 | 1 |
| 8 | 1 | COPARTNER FLEET | 5.5% | 18.33 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | STORMY KNIGHT | 3.8% | 26.39 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | VIGOR ELLEEGANT | 3.6% | 27.87 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | CHEAHA | 3.4% | 29.82 | 4 |
| 12 | 7 | HEROIC VANGUARD | 2.0% | 49.60 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 250
PLACE
2 56.5
4 15.5
8 19
QUINELLA
2,8 933
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 125.5
2,8 221.5
4,8 39
FORECAST
2,8 2,086
TIERCE
2,8,4 4,783
TRIO
2,4,8 568
FIRST 4
2,3,4,8 895
QUARTET
2,8,4,3 27,952
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,8,10/2,4,8 48,970
2ND DOUBLE
10/2 441
10/8 33.5