Happy Valley · 2026-05-20 · 20:10
DANDELION HANDICAP
Race 4
Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DECISION LINK Closed strongly V/TT 1:39.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 1.7 | — |
| 2 | 10 | NORTHERN BEAST Closed strongly CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | FLYING FORTUNE Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · W K Mo | C Y Ho | W K Mo | 4 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | COLOURFUL GAN Closed strongly B B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 8 | 64.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | FORTUNE STAR Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 9 | 7.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | LEAPING STAR CP H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 2 | 42.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | OUR LUCKY GLORY CP1/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 6 | 9.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ANOTHER ZONDA B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 11 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | LUCKY TOGETHER H/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 11.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL TT C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 12 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | LUCK IS BACK P J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 7 | 36.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | BLAZING BEAM Led early B/TT R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 5 | 56.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | DAILY TROPHY TT · C Fownes | — | C Fownes | — | — | — |
| WV | 2 | RAGGA BOMB XB- Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 7 | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 ("DANDELION HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. DECISION LINK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with NORTHERN BEAST second and FLYING FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | DECISION LINK | 40.7% | 2.46 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | FORTUNE STAR | 16.8% | 5.96 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 13.0% | 7.70 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | LUCKY TOGETHER | 5.6% | 17.74 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 4.5% | 22.09 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | LUCK IS BACK | 3.6% | 27.55 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | SURE JOYFUL | 3.6% | 27.77 | 10 |
| 8 | 10 | NORTHERN BEAST | 3.2% | 31.19 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | FLYING FORTUNE | 2.8% | 36.11 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | BLAZING BEAM | 2.3% | 43.24 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | COLOURFUL GAN | 2.2% | 46.15 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | LEAPING STAR | 1.7% | 58.42 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 17.5
PLACE
3 44.5
8 11.5
10 44.5
QUINELLA
8,10 172.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 82.5
3,10 517
8,10 76.5
FORECAST
8,10 270
TIERCE
8,10,3 3,213
TRIO
3,8,10 863
FIRST 4
3,5,8,10 7,734
QUARTET
8,10,3,5 56,621
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2/8 597.5
2/10 396.5