Happy Valley · 2026-05-20 · 13:10
DENDROBIUM HANDICAP
Race 6
Race 6 ("DENDROBIUM HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-20 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THE HEIR, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C Fownes, won, with SUPERB KING second and ARGENTO OCEAN third. The 3.4 favourite THUNDER PRINCE finished 11th.
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | THE HEIR 1:09.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 6.9 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SUPERB KING CP/XB H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 3 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | ARGENTO OCEAN CP-/B1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 12 | 20.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | VIRTUS GLORY TT E Brown · P F Yiu | E Brown | P F Yiu | 5 | 7.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | FATAL BLOW V/TT C L Chau · M Newnham | C L Chau | M Newnham | 6 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | MEOWTH CP-/SR-/B1/TT L Ferraris · W K Mo | L Ferraris | W K Mo | 10 | 8.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | GOR GOR C Y Ho · B Crawford | C Y Ho | B Crawford | 11 | 65.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | YEUX DE LIFELINE B/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 52.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | EVERSTAR CP/XB1 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 7 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 9 | STARRY SHOW B H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 9 | 135.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | THUNDER PRINCE Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 1 | 3.4 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | FALCON HUNTER B1/TT A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 15.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA BAY V/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | Z PRINCE · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPERB KING | 27.0% | 3.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | THE HEIR | 21.6% | 4.64 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | THUNDER PRINCE | 19.2% | 5.20 | 11 |
| 4 | 2 | MEOWTH | 7.9% | 12.67 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | FATAL BLOW | 5.0% | 20.00 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | VIRTUS GLORY | 4.3% | 23.49 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | YEUX DE LIFELINE | 3.6% | 28.12 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | ARGENTO OCEAN | 3.4% | 29.82 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | STARRY SHOW | 2.4% | 42.46 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | GOR GOR | 2.1% | 47.69 | 7 |
| 11 | 11 | FALCON HUNTER | 2.1% | 48.11 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | EVERSTAR | 1.6% | 62.99 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 69.5
PLACE
1 47.5
3 15.5
5 19.5
QUINELLA
3,5 128
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 112
1,5 182
3,5 45
FORECAST
5,3 301
TIERCE
5,3,1 2,482
TRIO
1,3,5 396
FIRST 4
1,3,5,6 1,411
QUARTET
5,3,1,6 29,453
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
2/3 10.5
2/5 104