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Happy Valley · 2026-05-20 · 11:10

DANDELION HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1650m Course A 12 runners

Race 2 ("DANDELION HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-05-20 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VIVACIOUS WIN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D Eustace, won, with GLORIOUS JOURNEY second and TURIN WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998

Result

Official · 1:39.21
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 VIVACIOUS WIN Closed strongly B/TT 1:39.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D Eustace 5 1.9
2 2 GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · F C Lor 3 8.6 5
3 8 TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB E Brown · K L Man 11 51.0 6-1/4
4 4 VERY GRATEFUL Closed strongly V/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 8 33.0 6-1/2
5 1 IVY LEAGUE SR/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte 4 9.7 7
6 6 AESTHETICISM Closed strongly C L Chau · P C Ng 2 7.2 8-3/4
7 12 TO INFINITY Closed strongly B- A Badel · J Richards 12 62.0 8-3/4
8 7 DAILY ACCLAIM XB1 J Moreira · C Fownes 6 21.0 9-3/4
9 3 NEVER TOO SOON B H Bowman · D J Hall 10 20.0 11-1/4
10 5 THE ABSOLUTE B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 1 22.0 12-1/2
11 11 BULL ATTITUDE B L Hewitson · M Newnham 7 8.3 13-1/2
12 9 BEAUTY GEMINI Led early TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 62.0 15-3/4
0 THE COSMIC POWER TT · C S Shum
0 MAGIC SUPER P- · Y S Tsui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. VIVACIOUS WIN2. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+5L3. TURIN WARRIOR+6.25L4. VERY GRATEFUL+6.5L5. IVY LEAGUE+7L6. AESTHETICISM+8.75L7. TO INFINITY+8.75L8. DAILY ACCLAIM+9.75L9. NEVER TOO SOON+11.25L10. THE ABSOLUTE+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick VIVACIOUS WIN (39.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 VIVACIOUS WIN 39.2% 2.55 1
2 11 BULL ATTITUDE 12.4% 8.08 11
3 7 DAILY ACCLAIM 9.6% 10.38 8
4 2 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 7.7% 12.91 2
5 3 NEVER TOO SOON 6.6% 15.26 9
6 5 THE ABSOLUTE 6.2% 16.22 10
7 6 AESTHETICISM 5.1% 19.55 6
8 1 IVY LEAGUE 4.8% 21.01 5
9 4 VERY GRATEFUL 2.9% 34.08 4
10 8 TURIN WARRIOR 2.5% 40.11 3
11 12 TO INFINITY 1.5% 65.99 7
12 9 BEAUTY GEMINI 1.5% 66.66 12
VIVACIOUS WIN — wonBULL ATTITUDEDAILY ACCLAIMGLORIOUS JOURNEYNEVER TOO SOONTHE ABSOLUTEAESTHETICISMIVY LEAGUEVERY GRATEFULTURIN WARRIORTO INFINITYBEAUTY GEMINI

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 19.5

PLACE

2 20.5

8 102.5

10 12

QUINELLA

2,10 73.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 405

2,10 27.5

8,10 200

FORECAST

10,2 107

TIERCE

10,2,8 2,720

TRIO

2,8,10 816

FIRST 4

2,4,8,10 2,456

QUARTET

10,2,8,4 26,730

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

7/2 39

7/10 63.5