跑馬地 · 2019-09-25
第 7場
2019-09-25跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、K H Ting訓練的TELECOM PUMA勝出，贏出HD。MY ALLY獲得亞軍；FEARLESS FIRE獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門HIGH REV跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA TT 1.10.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 3 | 9.1 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | MY ALLY TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 12 | 6.4 | HD |
| 3 | 4 | FEARLESS FIRE XB Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 1 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | FANTASTIC FABIO K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 10 | 13.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | MEGA HEART XB/TT R Bayliss · C W Chang | R Bayliss | C W Chang | 7 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HIGH REV B/XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 6 | 3.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | DIVINE UNICORN TT2 A Sanna · Y S Tsui | A Sanna | Y S Tsui | 5 | 168.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | SMART LEADER B/TT J Moreira · A S Cruz | J Moreira | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | LIGHTNING STAR TT1 H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 9 | 64.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SKYEY SUPREME TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 8 | 224.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | SPLIT OF A SECOND H M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 2 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | POWERMAX B K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 11 | 79.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HIGH REV | 28.5% | 3.51 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | SMART LEADER | 20.7% | 4.84 | 8 |
| 3 | 4 | FEARLESS FIRE | 18.2% | 5.48 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | MY ALLY | 7.4% | 13.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 6.9% | 14.51 | 11 |
| 6 | 10 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 5.4% | 18.69 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA | 4.4% | 22.50 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | MEGA HEART | 4.0% | 24.74 | 5 |
| 9 | 11 | POWERMAX | 1.8% | 55.40 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | LIGHTNING STAR | 1.3% | 76.31 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | DIVINE UNICORN | 0.7% | 142.96 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | SKYEY SUPREME | 0.7% | 151.42 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 91
PLACE
2 24
3 27
4 16
QUINELLA
2,3 289.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 108.5
2,4 73.5
3,4 82
TIERCE
2,3,4 4,529
TRIO
2,3,4 599
FIRST 4
2,3,4,10 1,218
QUARTET
2,3,4,10 26,947
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 22
全部彩池（另 3 項）
6TH DOUBLE
12/2 439
12/3 123
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,9/6,8,12/2,3,4 2,741,521
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,9/6,8,12/Any Combination 2,479