沙田 · 2019-10-01
第 1場
2019-10-01沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K C Leung策騎、K L Man訓練的E STAR勝出，贏出1-1/4。EIGHT TRIGRAMS獲得亞軍；I'M THE CONQUIST獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門EIGHT TRIGRAMS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | E STAR H 1.09.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | I'M THE CONQUIST M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 8.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU H-/B G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 9 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO B Shinn · C H Yip | B Shinn | C H Yip | 4 | 5.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION B1/TT1 C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 13 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SUPER EIGHTEEN B A Domeyer · A T Millard | A Domeyer | A T Millard | 3 | 7.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | VEGA RHYTHM H1 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 1 | 170.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ONE HAPPY STAR T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 10 | 106.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | GUN GUN WIN TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 14 | 166.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | IRON BRAVO TT H T Mo · W Y So | H T Mo | W Y So | 5 | 139.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | FOREVER SHARP B1/TT1 J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 11 | 41.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | WINNER APPROACH H1/TT1 R Bayliss · C W Chang | R Bayliss | C W Chang | 6 | 196.0 | ML |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FOREVER SHARP | 23.6% | 4.24 | 13 |
| 2 | 8 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 17.0% | 5.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER EIGHTEEN | 15.1% | 6.64 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | GOLDEN MISSION | 8.7% | 11.44 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | MASTER ALBERT | 7.9% | 12.73 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | E STAR | 5.4% | 18.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 5.3% | 18.92 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | I'M THE CONQUIST | 4.2% | 23.79 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | VEGA RHYTHM | 2.6% | 38.00 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | BEST FOR YOU | 2.6% | 38.94 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 2.3% | 43.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | WINNER APPROACH | 2.0% | 49.10 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | GUN GUN WIN | 1.8% | 55.17 | 11 |
| 14 | 13 | IRON BRAVO | 1.5% | 64.94 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 82
PLACE
1 21
8 12.5
14 32
QUINELLA
1,8 84
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 33.5
1,14 119.5
8,14 60
TIERCE
1,8,14 1,764
TRIO
1,8,14 244
FIRST 4
1,8,12,14 289
QUARTET
1,8,14,12 6,952
3 PICK 1
A2 32
A3 —
A1 —