沙田 · 2019-10-01
第 2場
2019-10-01沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的QUADRUPLE DOUBLE勝出，贏出2。WOOD ON FIRE獲得亞軍；LITTLE THUNDER獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門SUPER WINNER跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE 1.08.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE H1 G van Niekerk · L Ho | G van Niekerk | L Ho | 12 | 107.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | LITTLE THUNDER A Domeyer · A T Millard | A Domeyer | A T Millard | 2 | 8.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | THE CREATETH B K Teetan · J Moore | K Teetan | J Moore | 13 | 7.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | MOMENTUM HAPPY K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 8 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | FOODIE PRINCESS TT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 3 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | BLOOMING SPIRIT V-/TT H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 11 | 40.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | PRESIDENT STAR B1/TT1 H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 1 | 185.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | FLYING GODSPELL SR U Rispoli · K H Ting | U Rispoli | K H Ting | 5 | 52.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER WINNER Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 7 | 2.1 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | U W BROTHER L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 4 | 60.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 3 | CLUB SPIRIT N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 9 | 30.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | TURF BRILLIANT R Bayliss · W Y So | R Bayliss | W Y So | 6 | 419.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | SOCKET ELITE H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 14 | 248.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE CREATETH | 17.6% | 5.67 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER WINNER | 16.3% | 6.14 | 10 |
| 3 | 10 | LITTLE THUNDER | 12.1% | 8.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 11.3% | 8.83 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 8.9% | 11.22 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | BLOOMING SPIRIT | 5.2% | 19.19 | 7 |
| 7 | 8 | WOOD ON FIRE | 5.1% | 19.45 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | FLYING GODSPELL | 5.1% | 19.64 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | CLUB SPIRIT | 5.0% | 19.87 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | SOCKET ELITE | 4.3% | 23.10 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | U W BROTHER | 2.9% | 34.67 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | PRESIDENT STAR | 2.8% | 36.02 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 2.4% | 41.11 | 6 |
| 14 | 7 | TURF BRILLIANT | 0.9% | 113.15 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 45
PLACE
8 192.5
9 15.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
8,9 2,407.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 600.5
8,10 940.5
9,10 52
TIERCE
9,8,10 26,698
TRIO
8,9,10 4,612
FIRST 4
2,8,9,10 5,202
QUARTET
9,8,10,2 142,738
1ST DOUBLE
1/8 971
1/9 271.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 14.5
A2 —