沙田 · 2019-10-01
第 9場
2019-10-01沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、A T Millard訓練的SUPER STAR勝出，贏出1/2。INVINCIBLE MISSILE獲得亞軍；ALCARI獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER STAR 後段發力 1.21.32 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 10 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 6.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | ALCARI 後段發力 B G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 11 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY LOYAL 後段發力 B/TT A Domeyer · A S Cruz | A Domeyer | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | COOL TEAM 後段發力 CP B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 4.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | MIGHTY MAVERICK PC/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 6 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | CLASSIC POSH M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | COMFORT LIFE XB/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 47.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | LOBO'S LEGEND N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 9.3 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY 後段發力 V-/H K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 9 | 196.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | MARQULA 後段發力 B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 14 | 111.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | WON WON TOO TT H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 5 | 356.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | CHEERS VANQUISHER 早段領放 TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 1 | 198.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | GUVNOR T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 13 | 349.0 | 103-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 30.6% | 3.27 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SUPER STAR | 22.8% | 4.39 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY LOYAL | 11.1% | 9.02 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | COOL TEAM | 10.8% | 9.24 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | MIGHTY MAVERICK | 4.8% | 20.95 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | COMFORT LIFE | 4.0% | 25.09 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | LOBO'S LEGEND | 3.9% | 25.71 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | ALCARI | 3.5% | 28.92 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | CLASSIC POSH | 3.2% | 31.25 | 7 |
| 10 | 14 | MARQULA | 2.2% | 44.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | WON WON TOO | 1.0% | 97.80 | 12 |
| 12 | 13 | LET'S TAKE IT EASY | 0.9% | 116.39 | 10 |
| 13 | 9 | GUVNOR | 0.7% | 152.96 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | CHEERS VANQUISHER | 0.6% | 161.72 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 30
PLACE
3 16.5
4 14.5
5 39
QUINELLA
3,4 73.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 29.5
3,5 128
4,5 68.5
TIERCE
4,3,5 1,350
TRIO
3,4,5 365
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 503
QUARTET
4,3,5,6 5,931
3 PICK 1
A1 23
A3 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
2/3 14.5
2/4 51.5