沙田 · 2019-10-12
第 2場
2019-10-12沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的ALLIED AGILITY勝出，贏出1-3/4。VICTORY POWER獲得亞軍；DUKE WAI獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門VICTORY POWER跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ALLIED AGILITY CP-/H 0.56.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | VICTORY POWER B/XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 1 | 1.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | DUKE WAI K H Chan · P O'Sullivan | K H Chan | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | STRATHALLAN K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | EL JEFE TT1 G van Niekerk · C H Yip | G van Niekerk | C H Yip | 11 | 47.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | VICTORY IN HAND TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 10 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | NO REGRETS AT ALL C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 7 | 46.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | FANTASTIC BOY K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 157.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | ONE HAPPY STAR H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 14 | 44.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 14 | COBY WIN B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 6 | 242.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | WONDER WIN TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 13 | 77.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WILLFUL T H So · Y S Tsui | T H So | Y S Tsui | 5 | 161.0 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | SHIMMER AND SHINE TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 6.7 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | MIGHTY VALOR H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 8 | 91.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTORY POWER | 37.1% | 2.70 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | SHIMMER AND SHINE | 17.2% | 5.81 | 13 |
| 3 | 1 | DUKE WAI | 11.6% | 8.64 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | STRATHALLAN | 7.3% | 13.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 | NO REGRETS AT ALL | 5.7% | 17.69 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | FANTASTIC BOY | 4.1% | 24.47 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | EL JEFE | 3.3% | 30.47 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | MIGHTY VALOR | 3.2% | 31.23 | 14 |
| 9 | 3 | ALLIED AGILITY | 2.8% | 36.15 | 1 |
| 10 | 13 | VICTORY IN HAND | 2.5% | 40.11 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | WILLFUL | 2.4% | 41.24 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | ONE HAPPY STAR | 1.3% | 75.19 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | WONDER WIN | 0.9% | 111.88 | 11 |
| 14 | 14 | COBY WIN | 0.7% | 136.40 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 116
PLACE
1 18
3 27
6 11.5
QUINELLA
3,6 96
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 85.5
1,6 22
3,6 41.5
TIERCE
3,6,1 1,349
TRIO
1,3,6 114
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 197
QUARTET
3,6,1,2 6,724
1ST DOUBLE
5/3 521
5/6 26
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29.5
A1 —