沙田 · 2019-10-12
第 9場
2019-10-12沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由J Moreira策騎、J Moore訓練的AETHERO勝出，贏出2-1/2。BIG TIME BABY獲得亞軍；THANKS FOREVER獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門VOYAGE WARRIOR跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | AETHERO 0.54.69 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Moore | J Moreira | J Moore | 5 | 4.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | BIG TIME BABY K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 1 | 128.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | THANKS FOREVER CP C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 12 | 7.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | CUE THE MUSIC L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 14 | 110.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | MULTIMILLION B/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 6 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | VOYAGE WARRIOR TT1 Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 7 | 1.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 3 | 224.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | PERFECT GLORY H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 13 | 135.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | DRAGON GENERAL B-/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 132.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | REFINED TREASURE XB A Domeyer · A T Millard | A Domeyer | A T Millard | 9 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/H/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 10 | 18.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | STORM SIGNAL B/XB/TT- C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 8 | 36.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 61.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | RED DESERT M F Poon · J Size | M F Poon | J Size | 4 | 68.0 | 9-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VOYAGE WARRIOR | 38.5% | 2.60 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | AETHERO | 23.2% | 4.32 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | MULTIMILLION | 9.0% | 11.11 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | RED DESERT | 6.3% | 15.76 | 14 |
| 5 | 5 | THANKS FOREVER | 4.6% | 21.69 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 4.1% | 24.41 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | REFINED TREASURE | 3.5% | 28.69 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 2.8% | 36.10 | 11 |
| 9 | 3 | BIG TIME BABY | 2.0% | 50.19 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | STORM SIGNAL | 1.8% | 54.77 | 12 |
| 11 | 2 | DRAGON GENERAL | 1.5% | 66.12 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | CUE THE MUSIC | 1.0% | 99.52 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | PERFECT GLORY | 1.0% | 102.51 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | TEAM SPIRIT | 0.8% | 131.71 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 43.5
PLACE
3 194.5
5 19.5
7 14.5
QUINELLA
3,7 2,217.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 847.5
3,7 493
5,7 40
TIERCE
7,3,5 23,448
TRIO
3,5,7 4,054
FIRST 4
3,5,7,10 44,986
QUARTET
7,3,5,10 1,102,625
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 12.5
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
11/3 743.5
11/7 118