沙田 · 2019-10-12
第 6場
2019-10-12沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的DOLLAR REWARD勝出，贏出1-1/4。VIVA COUNCIL獲得亞軍；STAR SUPERIOR獲得季軍。4.5倍大熱門GUNNAR跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DOLLAR REWARD P/TT 1.09.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | VIVA COUNCIL H-/V2 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 12 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 12 | STAR SUPERIOR G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 11 | 6.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | WAYFOONG CHARMER K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 4.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | GUNNAR B N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 1 | 4.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | CASA DE FORCA CP1 A Domeyer · A S Cruz | A Domeyer | A S Cruz | 2 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | ALL YOU NEED B/H C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 10 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | EVER STRONG P C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 36.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | LORIZ CP-/B1 K H Chan · P F Yiu | K H Chan | P F Yiu | 9 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | TRUST ME H M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | HAPPY HAPPY STAR B M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 6 | 20.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | GOLDEN EFFORT B L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 3 | 30.0 | 28-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 17.9% | 5.58 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | GUNNAR | 16.4% | 6.08 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | CASA DE FORCA | 15.8% | 6.32 | 6 |
| 4 | 7 | DOLLAR REWARD | 11.5% | 8.69 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | ALL YOU NEED | 7.8% | 12.86 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | LORIZ | 6.1% | 16.43 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | VIVA COUNCIL | 4.9% | 20.51 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | HAPPY HAPPY STAR | 4.5% | 22.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | TRUST ME | 4.4% | 22.71 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | GOLDEN EFFORT | 4.0% | 24.72 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | STAR SUPERIOR | 3.6% | 27.48 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | EVER STRONG | 3.0% | 33.04 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 104.5
PLACE
4 46
7 30.5
12 20
QUINELLA
4,7 784
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 219
4,12 141.5
7,12 94.5
TIERCE
7,4,12 6,108
TRIO
4,7,12 806
FIRST 4
4,7,9,12 930
QUARTET
7,4,12,9 24,631
3 PICK 1
A2 26
A1 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
9/4 109.5
9/7 175.5
TRIPLE TRIO
7,9,12/9,11,13/4,7,12 1,656,445
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
7,9,12/9,11,13/Any Combination 4,685