沙田 · 2019-12-01
第 8場
2019-12-01沙田第8場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M Chadwick策騎、K L Man訓練的BIG TIME BABY勝出，贏出2。WINNER SUPREME獲得亞軍；REGENCY BO BO獲得季軍。3.1倍大熱門WINNER SUPREME跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BIG TIME BABY 1.07.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 3 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | WINNER SUPREME K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 3.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 7 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | ENCORE BOY B S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 10 | 9.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | STAR SHINE TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 9 | 68.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | FORTUNE BOOTH PC C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 5 | 8.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SEVEN HEAVENS B/H/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER TURBO B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 34.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | WALDORF B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 1 | 24.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL H-/B N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 11 | 123.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | TELECOM PUMA TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 12 | 106.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | SPEED VISION B/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 105.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 30.5% | 3.28 | 7 |
| 2 | 7 | WINNER SUPREME | 17.5% | 5.71 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | BIG TIME BABY | 11.5% | 8.73 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | REGENCY BO BO | 9.2% | 10.86 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | ENCORE BOY | 6.0% | 16.80 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | FORTUNE BOOTH | 5.8% | 17.13 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | STAR SHINE | 5.4% | 18.51 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER TURBO | 4.0% | 24.70 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | TELECOM PUMA | 2.8% | 35.49 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 2.7% | 36.87 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | WALDORF | 2.5% | 39.25 | 9 |
| 12 | 9 | SPEED VISION | 2.0% | 50.86 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 33
PLACE
2 12.5
7 15.5
12 35
QUINELLA
2,7 57
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 25.5
2,12 76
7,12 79.5
TIERCE
2,7,12 992
TRIO
2,7,12 185
FIRST 4
2,7,11,12 338
QUARTET
2,7,12,11 5,404
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 16
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
10/2 96
10/7 17