沙田 · 2019-12-01
第 3場
2019-12-01沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、D J Hall訓練的QUADRUPLE DOUBLE勝出，贏出1-1/4。THE ABRAXAS獲得亞軍；DESTINE JEWELLERY獲得季軍。頭馬以1.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE 1.09.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS B1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | DESTINE JEWELLERY B1 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BETTER CHOICE A Sanna · D J Whyte | A Sanna | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | HERO STAR C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 9.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MIGHTY VALOR L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 9 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | MERIDIAN TALENT M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 3 | 20.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | BRILLIANT PROFIT B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 6 | 91.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | COPARTNER ERA B1 R Bayliss · W Y So | R Bayliss | W Y So | 7 | 234.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR TT S De Sousa · T P Yung | S De Sousa | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LEGENDARY HERO TT T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 286.0 | 11-3/4 |
| — | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | WINNER APPROACH · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 29.0% | 3.45 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 12.2% | 8.21 | 5 |
| 4 | 3 | MAJESTIC CONQUEROR | 10.3% | 9.68 | 11 |
| 5 | 12 | THE ABRAXAS | 8.8% | 11.34 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | HERO STAR | 4.3% | 23.37 | 6 |
| 7 | 10 | MERIDIAN TALENT | 4.1% | 24.39 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | BRILLIANT PROFIT | 3.8% | 26.53 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | BETTER CHOICE | 3.6% | 27.44 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | COPARTNER ERA | 2.2% | 45.22 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | LEGENDARY HERO | 1.2% | 81.14 | 12 |
| 12 | 11 | MIGHTY VALOR | 0.8% | 128.90 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 17.5
PLACE
1 12
7 27.5
12 31.5
QUINELLA
1,12 99.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 42.5
1,12 46.5
7,12 169
TIERCE
1,12,7 1,092
TRIO
1,7,12 300
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 464
QUARTET
1,12,7,2 5,499
2ND DOUBLE
6/1 294.5
6/12 303.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 17.5
A2 —
A3 —