沙田 · 2019-12-08
第 3場
2019-12-08沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的BEAUTY APPLAUSE勝出，贏出N。SUPER WEALTHY獲得亞軍；DIAMOND BRILLIANT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE TT 1.09.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER WEALTHY A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.5 | N |
| 3 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 9 | 27.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | BE READY H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | PRINCE OF GEMS CP K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 11 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | REEL BIZZY B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 5 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SHINING GEM CP G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 13 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | BLOTTING PAPER H- C Lemaire · R Gibson | C Lemaire | R Gibson | 14 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | ARDENODE TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 2 | 238.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | ELIGERE L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 8 | 88.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING ON THE TURF C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 68.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 1 | ANONYMA TT U Rispoli · D E Ferraris | U Rispoli | D E Ferraris | 4 | 311.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME XB1 J McDonald · J Moore | J McDonald | J Moore | 12 | 15.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BEAUTY APPLAUSE | 32.2% | 3.11 | 1 |
| 2 | 10 | SHINING GEM | 12.8% | 7.84 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 11.2% | 8.93 | 12 |
| 4 | 14 | PRINCE OF GEMS | 10.4% | 9.59 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 6.8% | 14.63 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | BE READY | 5.8% | 17.30 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME | 4.8% | 20.88 | 14 |
| 8 | 11 | SUPER WEALTHY | 4.4% | 22.66 | 2 |
| 9 | 13 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 4.1% | 24.27 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | REEL BIZZY | 3.3% | 30.42 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | BLOTTING PAPER | 1.7% | 59.38 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | ELIGERE | 1.3% | 78.63 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | ARDENODE | 0.8% | 127.80 | 9 |
| 14 | 1 | ANONYMA | 0.5% | 215.22 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 31
PLACE
4 15
11 25.5
13 58.5
QUINELLA
4,11 159.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 60
4,13 130.5
11,13 241
TIERCE
4,11,13 3,146
TRIO
4,11,13 1,075
FIRST 4
3,4,11,13 2,256
QUARTET
4,11,13,3 27,356
2ND DOUBLE
1/4 1,499
1/11 393.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 24.5