沙田 · 2019-12-08
第 2場
2019-12-08沙田第2場，Class 3，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、D J Whyte訓練的EASY GO EASY WIN勝出，贏出N。WORLD FAMOUS獲得亞軍；RULE THEE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.3倍大熱門CHAMPION SUPREME跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EASY GO EASY WIN 一路領先 B/XB 1.47.66 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 34.0 | N |
| 2 | 9 | WORLD FAMOUS 後段發力 XB/B1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 13 | RULE THEE 後段發力 K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 86.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | VINCY 後段發力 B/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 5 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | CINQUANTE CINQ M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 12 | 7.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD 後段發力 U Rispoli · C H Yip | U Rispoli | C H Yip | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HOME WIN B- O Murphy · C W Chang | O Murphy | C W Chang | 9 | 172.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | CHAMPION SUPREME 後段發力 B/TT J McDonald · J Moore | J McDonald | J Moore | 3 | 4.3 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | MONGOLIAN KING C Lemaire · Y S Tsui | C Lemaire | Y S Tsui | 2 | 18.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 14 | LONDON HALL 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 14.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | I DO B-/H-/V1/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 11 | 5.1 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | JADE FORTUNE B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 130.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC SR K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 14 | 45.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | HAPPY SEBRING B/TT L Dettori · A S Cruz | L Dettori | A S Cruz | 13 | 5.2 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | VINCY | 19.6% | 5.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | I DO | 16.1% | 6.21 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | CINQUANTE CINQ | 14.0% | 7.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | WORLD FAMOUS | 8.9% | 11.22 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | SPLENDOUR AND GOLD | 7.2% | 13.96 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | CHAMPION SUPREME | 6.9% | 14.48 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | HAPPY SEBRING | 6.7% | 14.92 | 14 |
| 8 | 3 | MONGOLIAN KING | 5.1% | 19.76 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | LONDON HALL | 4.7% | 21.41 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC | 2.9% | 34.61 | 13 |
| 11 | 1 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 2.7% | 36.68 | 1 |
| 12 | 13 | RULE THEE | 2.4% | 41.04 | 3 |
| 13 | 12 | JADE FORTUNE | 2.2% | 45.30 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | HOME WIN | 0.6% | 163.17 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 346.5
PLACE
1 88.5
9 30
13 147.5
QUINELLA
1,9 1,443
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 423.5
1,13 2,100
9,13 940.5
TIERCE
1,9,13 128,597
TRIO
1,9,13 24,473
FIRST 4
1,5,9,13 31,306
QUARTET
1,9,13,5 606,196
1ST DOUBLE
7/1 3,130
7/9 153.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 30