沙田 · 2019-12-08
第 5場
2019-12-08沙田第5場，Group 1，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的BEAT THE CLOCK勝出，贏出N。HOT KING PRAWN獲得亞軍；AETHERO獲得季軍。1.5倍大熱門AETHERO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAT THE CLOCK TT 1.08.12 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 14 | AETHERO Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 8 | 1.5 | N |
| 4 | 3 | MR STUNNING H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | FULL OF BEAUTY C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 4 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | WISHFUL THINKER B C Soumillon · R Gibson | C Soumillon | R Gibson | 7 | 131.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | D B PIN R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 11 | 54.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | DANON SMASH L Dettori · T Yasuda | L Dettori | T Yasuda | 6 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SEASONS BLOOM TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 12 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | RATTAN B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 5 | 48.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | IVICTORY TT A Sanna · J Size | A Sanna | J Size | 9 | 250.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | REGENCY LEGEND TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 10 | 98.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 6 | LITTLE GIANT J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 13 | IN HER TIME B Avdulla · K Lees | B Avdulla | K Lees | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | AETHERO | 31.7% | 3.15 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | BEAT THE CLOCK | 16.7% | 6.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | HOT KING PRAWN | 9.0% | 11.07 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | REGENCY LEGEND | 8.6% | 11.65 | 12 |
| 5 | 7 | DANON SMASH | 7.3% | 13.73 | 8 |
| 6 | 11 | FULL OF BEAUTY | 6.5% | 15.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | MR STUNNING | 4.8% | 21.00 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | SEASONS BLOOM | 4.3% | 23.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 2 | D B PIN | 3.5% | 28.87 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | RATTAN | 3.3% | 30.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | WISHFUL THINKER | 3.2% | 31.62 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | IVICTORY | 1.2% | 86.41 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 65
PLACE
1 14.5
4 16.5
14 11
QUINELLA
1,4 146
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 38.5
1,14 20.5
4,14 24
TIERCE
1,4,14 605
TRIO
1,4,14 54
FIRST 4
1,3,4,14 154
QUARTET
1,4,14,3 4,070
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A3 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 278.5
2/4 68.5
WINNING TRAINER
B1 24.5
B3 —
B2 —
B4 —