Sha Tin · 2019-12-08
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAT THE CLOCK TT 1.08.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 5.2 | N |
| 3 | 0 | AETHERO Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 8 | 1.5 | N |
| 4 | 0 | MR STUNNING H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 2 | 24.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FULL OF BEAUTY C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 4 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER B C Soumillon · R Gibson | C Soumillon | R Gibson | 7 | 131.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | D B PIN R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 11 | 54.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | DANON SMASH L Dettori · T Yasuda | L Dettori | T Yasuda | 6 | 28.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SEASONS BLOOM TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 12 | 26.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RATTAN B C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 5 | 48.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | IVICTORY TT A Sanna · J Size | A Sanna | J Size | 9 | 250.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | REGENCY LEGEND TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 10 | 98.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LITTLE GIANT J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | IN HER TIME B Avdulla · K Lees | B Avdulla | K Lees | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-08 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAT THE CLOCK, ridden by J Moreira and trained by J Size, won by N, with HOT KING PRAWN second and AETHERO third. The 1.5 favourite AETHERO finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AETHERO | 31.7% | 3.15 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | BEAT THE CLOCK | 16.7% | 6.00 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | HOT KING PRAWN | 9.0% | 11.07 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | REGENCY LEGEND | 8.6% | 11.65 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | DANON SMASH | 7.3% | 13.73 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | FULL OF BEAUTY | 6.5% | 15.42 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | MR STUNNING | 4.8% | 21.00 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | SEASONS BLOOM | 4.3% | 23.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | D B PIN | 3.5% | 28.87 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | RATTAN | 3.3% | 30.06 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | WISHFUL THINKER | 3.2% | 31.62 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | IVICTORY | 1.2% | 86.41 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 65
PLACE
1 14.5
4 16.5
14 11
QUINELLA
1,4 146
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 38.5
1,14 20.5
4,14 24
TIERCE
1,4,14 605
TRIO
1,4,14 54
FIRST 4
1,3,4,14 154
QUARTET
1,4,14,3 4,070
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE
2/1 278.5
2/4 68.5
WINNING TRAINER
B4 —
B1 24.5
B3 —
B2 —